North Melbourne v Richmond

Sun 19 Apr 2026, 1:10pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

NM by 26

NM to win, 80% chance

NM 80%20% RIC

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

NM by 75

HIT Actual margin 75 · 49.3 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Nick Larkey	FF	2.1	-	-	78%	53%	28%	10%	2%	2.0
Paul Curtis	HFFL	1.6	-	-	68%	37%	13%	3%	0%	6.0
Cameron Zurhaar	FPL	1.5	-	-	66%	35%	12%	2%	0%	0.0
Cooper Trembath	CHF	1.1	-	-	55%	21%	4%	0%	0%	3.0
Jack Darling	FPR	1.1	-	-	55%	21%	4%	0%	0%	1.0
Jacob Konstanty	INT	0.9	-	-	44%	11%	1%	0%	0%	-
Lachy Dovaston	INT	0.8	-	-	40%	9%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Charlie Spargo	INT	0.7	-	-	36%	6%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Zane Duursma	HFFR	0.6	-	-	33%	5%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Tom Powell	C	0.5	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Harry Sheezel	R	0.4	-	-	17%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Jy Simpkin	WL	0.4	-	-	17%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Luke Davies-Uniacke	RR	0.4	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Bailey Scott	INT	0.3	-	-	11%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Callum Coleman-Jones	RK	0.3	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Dylan Stephens	WR	0.3	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Luke Parker	HBFR	0.3	-	-	12%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Colby McKercher	HBFL	0.2	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
George Wardlaw	INT	0.2	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Blamires	INT	0.2	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Caleb Daniel	CHB	0.1	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Charlie Comben	BPR	0.1	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Luke McDonald	INT	0.1	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Aidan Corr	BPL	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Griffin Logue	FB	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Toby Pink	INT	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-

Richmond

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jonty Faull	INT	1.1	-	-	54%	20%	4%	0%	0%	0.0
Liam Fawcett	FPL	1.0	-	-	51%	17%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Seth Campbell	FF	1.0	-	-	49%	15%	2%	0%	0%	2.0
Mykelti Lefau	FPR	0.9	-	-	46%	12%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Steely Green	HFFR	0.9	-	-	46%	12%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Sam Lalor	R	0.8	-	-	40%	8%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Jack Ross	CHF	0.5	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Maurice Rioli	HFFL	0.5	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Patrick Retschko	INT	0.5	-	-	26%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tim Taranto	RR	0.5	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Zane Peucker	INT	0.5	-	-	26%	2%	0%	0%	0%	-
Dion Prestia	C	0.4	-	-	16%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Oliver Hayes-Brown	INT	0.4	-	-	16%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Samson Ryan	RK	0.4	-	-	21%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Hugo Ralphsmith	WR	0.3	-	-	12%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Kane McAuliffe	INT	0.3	-	-	11%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tyler Sonsie	INT	0.3	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jayden Short	CHB	0.2	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Noah Balta	BPR	0.2	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Sam Banks	WL	0.2	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Grlj	HBFR	0.2	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Campbell Gray	INT	0.1	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Brown	INT	0.1	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Ben Miller	FB	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Nathan Broad	HBFL	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Nick Vlastuin	BPL	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0