NFL · WEEK 6 · LEVI'S STADIUM
San Francisco 49ers v Washington Commanders
Mon 19 Oct 2026, 5:15pm PDT (venue time)
IN TESTINGIn testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
SF by 11.7
SF to win, 84% chance
SF 84%16% WAS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SF by 6.0
HIT Actual margin 6.0 · 5.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
8 Oct 2026
IN TESTING In testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
Fantasy (PPR): the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
San Francisco 49ers
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | QB | 21.0 | 16.3 to 25.8 | 5.7 to 36.3 | 89% | 76% | 54% | 33% | 19% | inside our 50% range: 17.4 |
| Christian McCaffrey PROJECTED | RB | 19.8 | 15.1 to 24.4 | 4.9 to 34.7 | 87% | 70% | 49% | 30% | 16% | inside our 90% range: 30.7 |
| George Kittle PROJECTED | TE | 13.1 | 9.2 to 17.0 | 0.5 to 25.8 | 63% | 40% | 22% | 10% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 17.9 |
| Mike Evans PROJECTED | WR | 12.9 | 9.0 to 16.8 | 0.4 to 25.5 | 62% | 38% | 22% | 10% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 12.4 |
| Brandin Cooks PROJECTED | WR | 3.6 | 1.2 to 6.0 | 0.0 to 11.4 | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.3 |
| Kaelon Black PROJECTED | RB | 3.6 | 1.1 to 6.0 | 0.0 to 11.4 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 4.7 |
| Kyle Juszczyk PROJECTED | RB | 3.5 | 1.1 to 6.0 | 0.0 to 11.3 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Jordan Watkins PROJECTED | WR | 2.7 | 0.5 to 4.9 | 0.0 to 9.9 | 8% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.2 |
| Luke Farrell PROJECTED | TE | 1.5 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 7.5 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jacob Cowing PROJECTED | WR | 1.4 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 7.3 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Jordan James PROJECTED | RB | 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 7.1 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Brayden Willis PROJECTED | TE | 0.2 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
Washington Commanders
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | QB | 16.6 | 12.3 to 20.9 | 2.7 to 30.5 | 80% | 57% | 34% | 19% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 21.0 |
| Terry McLaurin PROJECTED | WR | 8.8 | 5.5 to 12.2 | 0.0 to 19.7 | 40% | 21% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.7 |
| Stefon Diggs PROJECTED | WR | 8.0 | 4.8 to 11.3 | 0.0 to 18.5 | 36% | 18% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 16.4 |
| Rachaad White PROJECTED | RB | 7.9 | 4.7 to 11.1 | 0.0 to 18.3 | 35% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.7 |
| Austin Ekeler PROJECTED | RB | 5.8 | 2.9 to 8.7 | 0.0 to 15.1 | 27% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 2.7 |
| Chig Okonkwo PROJECTED | TE | 5.5 | 2.7 to 8.4 | 0.0 to 14.7 | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.9 |
| Antonio Williams PROJECTED | WR | 4.4 | 1.8 to 7.0 | 0.0 to 12.8 | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Treylon Burks PROJECTED | WR | 3.3 | 0.9 to 5.6 | 0.0 to 10.9 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.6 |
| Dyami Brown PROJECTED | WR | 2.5 | 0.3 to 4.7 | 0.0 to 9.4 | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.6 |
| John Bates PROJECTED | TE | 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 8.1 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.4 |
| Ben Sinnott PROJECTED | TE | 1.6 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 7.7 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Luke McCaffrey PROJECTED | WR | 0.9 | 0.0 to 2.5 | 0.0 to 6.0 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Colson Yankoff PROJECTED | TE | 0.2 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |