AFL · ROUND 6 · SCG
Sydney Swans v GWS GIANTS
Fri 17 Apr 2026, 7:50pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 21
SYD to win, 75% chance
SYD 75%25% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 41
HIT Actual margin 41 · 20.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 101 | - | - | 93% | 84% | 69% | 51% | 33% | 130 |
| Isaac Heeney | C | 91 | - | - | 84% | 70% | 52% | 33% | 18% | 104 |
| Chad Warner | RR | 86 | - | - | 78% | 62% | 43% | 26% | 13% | 89 |
| Justin McInerney | R | 86 | - | - | 78% | 62% | 43% | 26% | 13% | 96 |
| Callum Mills | HBFR | 85 | - | - | 76% | 60% | 41% | 24% | 12% | 72 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 82 | - | - | 72% | 55% | 36% | 20% | 10% | 120 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFL | 78 | - | - | 64% | 45% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 72 |
| Riley Bice | BPR | 74 | - | - | 58% | 40% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 73 |
| Jake Lloyd | INT | 72 | - | - | 54% | 36% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 52 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 72 | - | - | 53% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 74 |
| Tom Papley | CHF | 72 | - | - | 53% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 57 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 70 | - | - | 49% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 79 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 63 | - | - | 37% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 59 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 61 | - | - | 34% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 55 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 60 | - | - | 31% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 97 |
| James Jordon | HFFR | 59 | - | - | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 70 |
| Corey Warner | INT | 58 | - | - | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 24 |
| Sam Wicks | HBFL | 58 | - | - | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 78 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 57 | - | - | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 49 |
| Harry Cunningham | INT | 54 | - | - | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 63 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 52 | - | - | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 48 |
| Malcolm Rosas | FPR | 49 | - | - | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 59 |
| Joel Hamling | BPL | 37 | - | - | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 31 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Callaghan | R | 102 | - | - | 94% | 85% | 72% | 54% | 36% | 75 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 102 | - | - | 93% | 85% | 71% | 53% | 35% | 101 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 96 | - | - | 89% | 77% | 61% | 42% | 25% | 113 |
| Lachie Ash | CHB | 93 | - | - | 86% | 73% | 56% | 37% | 21% | 114 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 87 | - | - | 79% | 62% | 44% | 26% | 14% | 74 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 77 | - | - | 63% | 45% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 60 |
| Harry Himmelberg | INT | 75 | - | - | 60% | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 63 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 75 | - | - | 59% | 40% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 67 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 72 | - | - | 53% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 49 |
| Connor Idun | FB | 71 | - | - | 51% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 61 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 71 | - | - | 52% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 55 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFR | 66 | - | - | 42% | 25% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 70 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 64 | - | - | 39% | 22% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 87 |
| Phoenix Gothard | HFFR | 64 | - | - | 38% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 99 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 62 | - | - | 34% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 51 |
| Jesse Hogan | FPL | 61 | - | - | 34% | 19% | 9% | 3% | 1% | - |
| Xavier O'Halloran | HFFL | 61 | - | - | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 39 |
| Toby Bedford | CHF | 58 | - | - | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 51 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 57 | - | - | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 93 |
| Jack Buckley | BPR | 56 | - | - | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 43 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 50 | - | - | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 30 |
| Oliver Hannaford | INT | 43 | - | - | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 43 |
| Leek Aleer | INT | 35 | - | - | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 73 |