AFL · ROUND 6 · SCG
Sydney Swans v GWS GIANTS
Fri 17 Apr 2026, 7:50pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 21
SYD to win, 75% chance
SYD 75%25% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 41
HIT Actual margin 41 · 20.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 2.0 | - | - | 87% | 60% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 3.0 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 1.9 | - | - | 84% | 55% | 28% | 12% | 4% | 2.0 |
| Tom Papley | CHF | 1.5 | - | - | 77% | 43% | 18% | 6% | 2% | 1.0 |
| Isaac Heeney | C | 1.4 | - | - | 76% | 42% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 0.0 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 1.3 | - | - | 74% | 39% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Malcolm Rosas | FPR | 1.1 | - | - | 67% | 30% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1.0 |
| Corey Warner | INT | 0.9 | - | - | 58% | 22% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Chad Warner | RR | 0.8 | - | - | 54% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Justin McInerney | R | 0.7 | - | - | 52% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Jake Lloyd | INT | 0.6 | - | - | 47% | 13% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 0.5 | - | - | 38% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| James Jordon | HFFR | 0.5 | - | - | 38% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
| James Rowbottom | HFFL | 0.5 | - | - | 38% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 0.4 | - | - | 30% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 0.3 | - | - | 25% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 0.2 | - | - | 21% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Callum Mills | HBFR | 0.1 | - | - | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 0.1 | - | - | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Joel Hamling | BPL | 0.1 | - | - | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Riley Bice | BPR | 0.1 | - | - | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Sam Wicks | HBFL | 0.1 | - | - | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Harry Cunningham | INT | 0.0 | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 0.0 | - | - | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Hogan | FPL | 2.5 | - | - | 91% | 70% | 44% | 23% | 10% | - |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 2.4 | - | - | 91% | 69% | 43% | 22% | 10% | 0.0 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 1.3 | - | - | 74% | 39% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 0.0 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 1.2 | - | - | 69% | 33% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Toby Bedford | CHF | 1.1 | - | - | 66% | 29% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Phoenix Gothard | HFFR | 0.9 | - | - | 61% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | HFFL | 0.6 | - | - | 43% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 0.5 | - | - | 40% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 0.5 | - | - | 37% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 0.5 | - | - | 41% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 0.5 | - | - | 39% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Oliver Hannaford | INT | 0.5 | - | - | 42% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 0.3 | - | - | 26% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 0.3 | - | - | 24% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 0.2 | - | - | 20% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Joe Fonti | HBFR | 0.1 | - | - | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Lachie Ash | CHB | 0.1 | - | - | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 0.1 | - | - | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Connor Idun | FB | 0.0 | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Harry Himmelberg | INT | 0.0 | - | - | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jack Buckley | BPR | 0.0 | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 0.0 | - | - | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Leek Aleer | INT | -0.0 | - | - | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |