Sydney Swans v GWS GIANTS

Fri 17 Apr 2026, 7:50pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIP

SYD by 21

SYD to win, 75% chance

SYD 75%25% GWS

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 41

HIT Actual margin 41 · 20.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	3+	4+	5+	6+	7+	ACTUAL
James Rowbottom	HFFL	6.0	-	-	94%	85%	71%	55%	39%	6.0
Isaac Heeney	C	3.8	-	-	74%	53%	34%	19%	9%	5.0
Brodie Grundy	RK	3.4	-	-	66%	44%	25%	13%	6%	6.0
Chad Warner	RR	3.1	-	-	60%	37%	20%	9%	4%	2.0
James Jordon	HFFR	3.1	-	-	60%	38%	20%	10%	4%	2.0
Angus Sheldrick	INT	2.8	-	-	54%	31%	16%	7%	2%	7.0
Justin McInerney	R	2.5	-	-	45%	24%	10%	4%	1%	2.0
Malcolm Rosas	FPR	2.2	-	-	39%	19%	8%	3%	1%	4.0
Jake Lloyd	INT	2.1	-	-	36%	16%	6%	2%	1%	2.0
Sam Wicks	HBFL	2.1	-	-	36%	17%	6%	2%	1%	3.0
Tom Papley	CHF	2.1	-	-	36%	16%	6%	2%	1%	3.0
Callum Mills	HBFR	2.0	-	-	31%	14%	5%	2%	0%	1.0
Jai Serong	WL	2.0	-	-	31%	14%	5%	2%	0%	3.0
Matt Roberts	WR	2.0	-	-	33%	14%	5%	2%	0%	0.0
Riley Bice	BPR	2.0	-	-	31%	14%	5%	2%	0%	0.0
Harry Cunningham	INT	1.8	-	-	28%	11%	4%	1%	0%	5.0
Joel Amartey	FPL	1.8	-	-	27%	11%	4%	1%	0%	3.0
Corey Warner	INT	1.7	-	-	24%	9%	3%	1%	0%	0.0
Joel Hamling	BPL	1.3	-	-	15%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Logan McDonald	INT	1.3	-	-	13%	4%	1%	0%	0%	2.0
Nick Blakey	CHB	1.3	-	-	14%	4%	1%	0%	0%	3.0
Charlie Curnow	FF	1.2	-	-	11%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom McCartin	FB	0.9	-	-	7%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1.0

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	3+	4+	5+	6+	7+	ACTUAL
Finn Callaghan	R	4.3	-	-	80%	61%	42%	26%	14%	3.0
Clayton Oliver	C	4.0	-	-	76%	56%	37%	21%	11%	5.0
Toby Bedford	CHF	3.4	-	-	66%	44%	25%	13%	6%	3.0
Ryan Angwin	WL	3.1	-	-	60%	37%	20%	9%	4%	1.0
Xavier O'Halloran	HFFL	2.7	-	-	50%	28%	14%	6%	2%	2.0
Toby Greene	RR	2.6	-	-	48%	26%	12%	5%	2%	0.0
Harvey Thomas	WR	2.5	-	-	46%	25%	11%	4%	2%	1.0
Nicholas Madden	RK	2.4	-	-	44%	23%	10%	4%	1%	3.0
Jake Riccardi	FPR	2.2	-	-	37%	17%	7%	2%	1%	2.0
Phoenix Gothard	HFFR	2.2	-	-	38%	18%	7%	2%	1%	7.0
Joe Fonti	HBFR	2.0	-	-	32%	14%	5%	2%	0%	5.0
Toby McMullin	INT	2.0	-	-	33%	15%	6%	2%	0%	3.0
Lachie Whitfield	HBFL	1.9	-	-	30%	13%	4%	1%	0%	2.0
Jake Stringer	FF	1.8	-	-	26%	10%	3%	1%	0%	1.0
Lachie Ash	CHB	1.7	-	-	24%	9%	3%	1%	0%	3.0
Oliver Hannaford	INT	1.7	-	-	23%	9%	3%	1%	0%	1.0
Harry Himmelberg	INT	1.5	-	-	19%	6%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Harry Rowston	INT	1.5	-	-	19%	6%	2%	0%	0%	5.0
Jayden Laverde	BPL	1.4	-	-	17%	6%	2%	0%	0%	6.0
Leek Aleer	INT	1.3	-	-	15%	5%	1%	0%	0%	2.0
Jesse Hogan	FPL	1.2	-	-	12%	3%	1%	0%	0%	-
Jack Buckley	BPR	1.1	-	-	10%	3%	1%	0%	0%	2.0
Connor Idun	FB	1.0	-	-	8%	2%	0%	0%	0%	4.0