NFL · WEEK 6 · RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 1:00pm EDT (venue time)
IN TESTINGIn testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
PIT by 0.7
PIT to win, 52% chance
TB 48%52% PIT
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PIT by 7.0
HIT Actual margin 7.0 · 6.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
8 Oct 2026
IN TESTING In testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
Fantasy (PPR): the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving PROJECTED | RB | 12.5 | 8.6 to 16.3 | 0.1 to 24.9 | 60% | 36% | 20% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 6.9 |
| Jalon Daniels | QB | 12.1 | 8.3 to 15.9 | 0.0 to 24.4 | 58% | 34% | 19% | 8% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 11.2 |
| Chris Godwin Jr. PROJECTED | WR | 8.8 | 5.4 to 12.2 | 0.0 to 19.6 | 40% | 21% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 7.7 |
| Emeka Egbuka PROJECTED | WR | 8.8 | 5.4 to 12.1 | 0.0 to 19.5 | 40% | 21% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 17.8 |
| Cade Otton PROJECTED | TE | 7.6 | 4.4 to 10.8 | 0.0 to 17.8 | 33% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.4 |
| Kenny Gainwell PROJECTED | RB | 6.8 | 3.7 to 9.8 | 0.0 to 16.5 | 33% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.4 |
| Ted Hurst III PROJECTED | WR | 4.3 | 1.7 to 6.9 | 0.0 to 12.7 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Tez Johnson PROJECTED | WR | 2.9 | 0.6 to 5.2 | 0.0 to 10.2 | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.7 |
| Sean Tucker PROJECTED | RB | 2.0 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 8.4 | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Payne Durham PROJECTED | TE | 1.2 | 0.0 to 3.0 | 0.0 to 6.8 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Josh Williams PROJECTED | RB | 0.3 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Bauer Sharp PROJECTED | TE | -0.0 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 3.1 |
| Ko Kieft PROJECTED | TE | -0.0 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Kameron Johnson PROJECTED | WR | -0.1 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
Pittsburgh Steelers
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren PROJECTED | RB | 15.2 | 11.0 to 19.3 | 1.8 to 28.6 | 75% | 51% | 27% | 11% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 9.8 |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | 14.7 | 10.6 to 18.8 | 1.5 to 27.9 | 72% | 49% | 25% | 11% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 16.0 |
| DK Metcalf PROJECTED | WR | 10.3 | 6.7 to 13.9 | 0.0 to 21.8 | 50% | 30% | 15% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 20.3 |
| Pat Freiermuth PROJECTED | TE | 8.3 | 5.0 to 11.6 | 0.0 to 18.9 | 37% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 3.1 |
| Rico Dowdle PROJECTED | RB | 7.3 | 4.2 to 10.4 | 0.0 to 17.4 | 32% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 7.9 |
| Germie Bernard PROJECTED | WR | 6.7 | 3.6 to 9.7 | 0.0 to 16.4 | 32% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 25.7 |
| Darnell Washington PROJECTED | TE | 4.7 | 2.0 to 7.3 | 0.0 to 13.2 | 19% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.5 |
| Brandon Johnson PROJECTED | WR | 3.6 | 1.1 to 6.0 | 0.0 to 11.4 | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Brandon Smith PROJECTED | WR | 1.8 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 8.0 | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Robert Tonyan PROJECTED | TE | 1.1 | 0.0 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 6.5 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Kaden Wetjen PROJECTED | WR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lew Nichols III PROJECTED | RB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Travis Homer PROJECTED | RB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Eli Heidenreich PROJECTED | RB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Riley Nowakowski PROJECTED | RB | 0.0 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |