AFL · ROUND 6 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Fremantle
Sun 19 Apr 2026, 3:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
FRE by 41
FRE to win, 90% chance
WCE 10%90% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 56
HIT Actual margin 56 · 15.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 23.0 | - | - | 92% | 70% | 36% | 11% | 2% | 20.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 21.8 | - | - | 89% | 63% | 28% | 7% | 1% | 24.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 20.7 | - | - | 86% | 56% | 21% | 4% | 0% | 21.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | WL | 20.5 | - | - | 85% | 53% | 20% | 4% | 0% | 28.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 20.4 | - | - | 84% | 53% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 21.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 19.2 | - | - | 79% | 44% | 13% | 2% | 0% | 15.0 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 19.1 | - | - | 79% | 43% | 13% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 17.3 | - | - | 68% | 29% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 19.0 |
| Brady Hough | HBFL | 16.2 | - | - | 60% | 21% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 11.0 |
| Elijah Hewett | HFFR | 16.2 | - | - | 60% | 21% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 14.0 | - | - | 41% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 14.0 | - | - | 41% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 20.0 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 13.8 | - | - | 39% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 16.0 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 13.2 | - | - | 34% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17.0 |
| Matt Flynn | INT | 11.9 | - | - | 22% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 11.8 | - | - | 22% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | BPR | 11.5 | - | - | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14.0 |
| Jamie Cripps | INT | 11.2 | - | - | 17% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 10.9 | - | - | 15% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 10.9 | - | - | 15% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19.0 |
| Sandy Brock | FB | 10.4 | - | - | 12% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 9.8 | - | - | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | FPR | 9.5 | - | - | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6.0 |
| Matthew Owies | INT | 9.3 | - | - | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | INT | 8.7 | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Archer Reid | CHF | 7.4 | - | - | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4.0 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Serong | R | 28.5 | - | - | 98% | 91% | 71% | 40% | 15% | 24.0 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 26.4 | - | - | 97% | 86% | 59% | 28% | 8% | 15.0 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 23.8 | - | - | 94% | 75% | 42% | 14% | 3% | 27.0 |
| Shai Bolton | FPL | 21.8 | - | - | 89% | 63% | 28% | 7% | 1% | 16.0 |
| Neil Erasmus | INT | 21.1 | - | - | 87% | 58% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 20.9 | - | - | 86% | 56% | 22% | 4% | 0% | 26.0 |
| Hayden Young | RR | 20.3 | - | - | 84% | 52% | 19% | 3% | 0% | 23.0 |
| Murphy Reid | WL | 19.4 | - | - | 80% | 45% | 14% | 2% | 0% | 26.0 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 18.7 | - | - | 77% | 40% | 11% | 1% | 0% | 16.0 |
| Matthew Johnson | WR | 18.3 | - | - | 74% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 20.0 |
| Judd McVee | HBFR | 16.4 | - | - | 62% | 23% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 20.0 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 15.8 | - | - | 57% | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 21.0 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 15.3 | - | - | 52% | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 25.0 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | INT | 14.9 | - | - | 49% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Karl Worner | INT | 14.8 | - | - | 48% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Brandon Walker | INT | 13.4 | - | - | 35% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 12.3 | - | - | 26% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Michael Frederick | INT | 12.3 | - | - | 26% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 11.7 | - | - | 21% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 11.4 | - | - | 19% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Christopher Scerri | INT | 10.9 | - | - | 15% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 10.3 | - | - | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 |
| Patrick Voss | FPR | 10.2 | - | - | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12.0 |
| Isaiah Dudley | HFFL | 10.1 | - | - | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5.0 |
| Jye Amiss | CHF | 8.0 | - | - | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13.0 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.2 | - | - | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4.0 |