AFL · ROUND 6 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Fremantle
Sun 19 Apr 2026, 3:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
FRE by 41
FRE to win, 90% chance
WCE 10%90% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 56
HIT Actual margin 56 · 15.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 5.3 | - | - | 69% | 54% | 39% | 25% | 14% | 11.0 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 5.3 | - | - | 70% | 55% | 40% | 26% | 15% | 8.0 |
| Brady Hough | HBFL | 5.1 | - | - | 68% | 52% | 37% | 23% | 13% | 7.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | FPR | 4.5 | - | - | 59% | 42% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 4.5 | - | - | 59% | 42% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 4.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | WL | 4.4 | - | - | 57% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 9.0 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 4.2 | - | - | 54% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 5% | - |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 3.8 | - | - | 46% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 1.0 |
| Jamie Cripps | INT | 3.7 | - | - | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 4.0 |
| Sandy Brock | FB | 3.7 | - | - | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 6.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 3.5 | - | - | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 3.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 3.5 | - | - | 40% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 6.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 3.3 | - | - | 37% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 5.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | BPR | 3.3 | - | - | 37% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 7.0 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 2.9 | - | - | 29% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 7.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 2.8 | - | - | 26% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 2.8 | - | - | 27% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 2.8 | - | - | 27% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Matthew Owies | INT | 2.7 | - | - | 24% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Archer Reid | CHF | 2.6 | - | - | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Matt Flynn | INT | 2.6 | - | - | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | INT | 2.5 | - | - | 20% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 2.5 | - | - | 20% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 2.3 | - | - | 16% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 5.0 |
| Elijah Hewett | HFFR | 2.1 | - | - | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 1.6 | - | - | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 6.7 | - | - | 83% | 73% | 60% | 46% | 33% | 8.0 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 5.6 | - | - | 72% | 58% | 43% | 29% | 18% | 7.0 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 5.6 | - | - | 73% | 59% | 44% | 30% | 18% | 3.0 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 5.0 | - | - | 66% | 50% | 35% | 22% | 12% | 10.0 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 4.9 | - | - | 64% | 48% | 32% | 19% | 10% | 11.0 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 4.8 | - | - | 63% | 47% | 31% | 18% | 9% | 3.0 |
| Judd McVee | HBFR | 4.3 | - | - | 55% | 38% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 9.0 |
| Karl Worner | INT | 4.2 | - | - | 54% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 5.0 |
| Patrick Voss | FPR | 3.7 | - | - | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 4.0 |
| Jye Amiss | CHF | 3.6 | - | - | 42% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 10.0 |
| Matthew Johnson | WR | 3.6 | - | - | 43% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 4.0 |
| Neil Erasmus | INT | 3.5 | - | - | 40% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 4.0 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 3.3 | - | - | 36% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 6.0 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 3.2 | - | - | 35% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1.0 |
| Murphy Reid | WL | 3.2 | - | - | 34% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 5.0 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | INT | 3.0 | - | - | 31% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Brandon Walker | INT | 2.9 | - | - | 28% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Shai Bolton | FPL | 2.9 | - | - | 28% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Christopher Scerri | INT | 2.8 | - | - | 26% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Mason Cox | INT | 2.8 | - | - | 26% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Michael Frederick | INT | 2.7 | - | - | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Caleb Serong | R | 2.6 | - | - | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4.0 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 2.5 | - | - | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Hayden Young | RR | 2.3 | - | - | 15% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 8.0 |
| Isaiah Dudley | HFFL | 2.1 | - | - | 13% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 2.1 | - | - | 13% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4.0 |