AFL · ROUND 7 · GABBA
Brisbane Lions v Adelaide Crows
Sun 26 Apr 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 17
BRI to win, 72% chance
BRI 72%28% ADE
BY HOW MUCH
Most likely: BRI by 17
← BRI by 60+drawADE by 60+ →
Half the time: BRI by 37 to ADE by 49 times in 10: BRI by 74 to ADE by 41
RESULT
BRI by 52
HIT Actual margin 52 · 35.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | R | 29.2 / outside our 90% range: 42.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 101 / outside our 90% range: 159 |
| Will Ashcroft | C | 27.6 / inside our 90% range: 36.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 131 |
| Hugh McCluggage | WL | 27.0 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / outside our 90% range: 127 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | CHB | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Keidean Coleman | BPL | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Bruce Reville | INT | 15.8 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 20 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Sam Draper | FPL | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Kai Lohmann | INT | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 101 |
| Logan Morris | INT | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Shadeau Brain | INT | 10.9 / - | 0.4 / - | 2.8 / - | 1.6 / - | 48 / - |
| Lincoln McCarthy | FPR | 10.6 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / outside our 90% range: 118 |
| Darragh Joyce | INT | 10.5 / - | 0.0 / - | 5.6 / - | 0.8 / - | 45 / - |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Ty Gallop | HBFR | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Oscar Allen | CHF | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Zane Zakostelsky | INT | 8.6 / - | 0.4 / - | 3.0 / - | 1.5 / - | 43 / - |
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Worrell | BPL | 24.5 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Rory Laird | HBFL | 24.5 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 23.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 22.6 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 5.9 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 116 |
| Sam Berry | RR | 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| James Peatling | R | 21.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Billy Dowling | INT | 16.9 / - | 0.3 / - | 4.1 / - | 2.1 / - | 65 / - |
| Isaac Cumming | WL | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Max Michalanney | INT | 15.4 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Ben Keays | FPR | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 14.7 / - | 0.2 / - | 3.5 / - | 1.9 / - | 58 / - |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 12.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / outside our 90% range: 11 |
| Nick Murray | CHB | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Hugh Bond | BPR | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Jordon Butts | FB | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Charlie Edwards | INT | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| James Borlase | INT | 8.8 / - | 0.1 / - | 3.2 / - | 1.5 / - | 39 / - |
| Toby Murray | INT | 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Luke Pedlar | INT | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 82 |
| Finnbar Maley | FPL | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 21 |