NFL · WEEK 7 · SOLDIER FIELD
Chicago Bears v New England Patriots
Thu 22 Oct 2026, 7:15pm CDT (venue time)
IN TESTINGIn testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
CHI by 0.4
CHI to win, 52% chance
CHI 52%48% NE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CHI by 6.0
HIT Actual margin 6.0 · 5.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
8 Oct 2026
IN TESTING In testing. The NFL model is new; its record is short and still being checked.
Fantasy (PPR): the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Chicago Bears
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Williams | QB | 18.2 | 13.8 to 22.7 | 3.9 to 32.5 | 84% | 64% | 41% | 22% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 22.1 |
| D'Andre Swift PROJECTED | RB | 13.4 | 9.5 to 17.4 | 0.8 to 26.1 | 63% | 41% | 23% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 19.0 |
| Colston Loveland PROJECTED | TE | 9.8 | 6.3 to 13.3 | 0.0 to 21.0 | 47% | 27% | 14% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 19.9 |
| Luther Burden III PROJECTED | WR | 9.8 | 6.3 to 13.2 | 0.0 to 21.0 | 47% | 27% | 14% | 5% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 23.7 |
| Rome Odunze PROJECTED | WR | 8.4 | 5.2 to 11.7 | 0.0 to 19.0 | 36% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.9 |
| Kalif Raymond PROJECTED | WR | 5.2 | 2.5 to 8.0 | 0.0 to 14.1 | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Roschon Johnson PROJECTED | RB | 4.4 | 1.8 to 7.0 | 0.0 to 12.8 | 17% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.3 |
| Cole Kmet PROJECTED | TE | 3.4 | 1.1 to 5.8 | 0.0 to 11.1 | 14% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 5.8 |
| Jahdae Walker PROJECTED | WR | 1.3 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 7.0 | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Zavion Thomas PROJECTED | WR | 1.0 | 0.0 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 6.2 | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Sam Roush PROJECTED | TE | 0.6 | 0.0 to 2.1 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
New England Patriots
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 10+ | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye | QB | 17.7 | 13.3 to 22.1 | 3.6 to 31.9 | 84% | 62% | 38% | 21% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 27.4 |
| A.J. Brown PROJECTED | WR | 11.5 | 7.8 to 15.2 | 0.0 to 23.4 | 56% | 32% | 15% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 7.8 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson PROJECTED | RB | 10.3 | 6.8 to 13.9 | 0.0 to 21.8 | 50% | 30% | 17% | 6% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 22.5 |
| Hunter Henry PROJECTED | TE | 7.4 | 4.3 to 10.6 | 0.0 to 17.5 | 34% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 14.1 |
| DeMario Douglas PROJECTED | WR | 6.6 | 3.6 to 9.6 | 0.0 to 16.3 | 33% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 5.3 |
| TreVeyon Henderson PROJECTED | RB | 3.5 | 1.1 to 5.9 | 0.0 to 11.2 | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 4.3 |
| Eli Raridon PROJECTED | TE | 3.4 | 1.0 to 5.7 | 0.0 to 11.0 | 13% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 14.6 |
| Efton Chism III PROJECTED | WR | 2.9 | 0.6 to 5.2 | 0.0 to 10.2 | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.6 |
| Corey Kiner PROJECTED | RB | 2.2 | 0.1 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 8.8 | 11% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.3 |
| Kyle Williams PROJECTED | WR | 1.9 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 8.4 | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tanner Arkin PROJECTED | TE | 1.1 | 0.0 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 6.7 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |
| Cameron Latu PROJECTED | TE | 0.0 | 0.0 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - |