AFL · ROUND 7 · CORROBOREE GROUP OVAL MANUKA
GWS GIANTS v North Melbourne
Sun 26 Apr 2026, 4:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GWS by 15
GWS to win, 70% chance
GWS 70%30% NM
BY HOW MUCH
Most likely: GWS by 15
← GWS by 60+drawNM by 60+ →
Half the time: GWS by 36 to NM by 69 times in 10: GWS by 72 to NM by 42
RESULT
GWS by 7
HIT Actual margin 7 · 7.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Callaghan | R | 29.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 28.3 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Lachie Ash | CHB | 28.3 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 27.8 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 20.3 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 109 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Connor Idun | FB | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Brent Daniels | INT | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Stephen Coniglio | INT | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Harry Himmelberg | HBFR | 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | HFFL | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Phoenix Gothard | HFFR | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 13.1 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Jack Buckley | BPR | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Jake Stringer | FF | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Jake Riccardi | CHF | 12.1 / - | 1.2 / - | 3.8 / - | 2.0 / - | 65 / - |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 12.1 / - | 0.4 / - | 2.9 / - | 2.0 / - | 51 / - |
| Aaron Cadman | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jesse Hogan | INT | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Toby Bedford | FPR | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Oliver Hannaford | FPL | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Leek Aleer | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 8.8 / - | 0.4 / - | 2.5 / - | 1.5 / - | 56 / - |
| James Leake | INT | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 32.8 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 115 / inside our 50% range: 113 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | RR | 29.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 105 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Colby McKercher | HBFL | 26.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Luke Parker | HBFR | 25.8 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Jy Simpkin | WL | 23.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Tom Powell | C | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Tristan Xerri | RK | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 99 / outside our 90% range: 145 |
| Finn O'Sullivan | INT | 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| George Wardlaw | INT | 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Tom Blamires | INT | 17.6 / - | 0.3 / - | 3.9 / - | 1.8 / - | 70 / - |
| Luke McDonald | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Griffin Logue | FB | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Charlie Comben | BPR | 12.8 / - | 0.1 / - | 6.2 / - | 1.3 / - | 57 / - |
| Charlie Spargo | INT | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Aidan Corr | BPL | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Paul Curtis | HFFL | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Toby Pink | INT | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Jacob Konstanty | INT | 10.5 / - | 1.0 / - | 2.1 / - | 2.7 / - | 53 / - |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 10.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Lachy Dovaston | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Zane Duursma | HFFR | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Jack Darling | FPR | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 65 |