AFL · ROUND 7 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v Geelong Cats
Sat 25 Apr 2026, 6:05pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GEE by 26
GEE to win, 82% chance
PA 18%82% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
Most likely: GEE by 26
← PA by 60+drawGEE by 60+ →
Half the time: GEE by 5 to GEE by 479 times in 10: PA by 31 to GEE by 84
RESULT
PA by 30
MISS Actual margin 30 · 56.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 28.4 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 20.1 / outside our 90% range: 34.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 120 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 20.0 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Willem Drew | R | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Jase Burgoyne | HBFL | 18.0 / outside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / outside our 90% range: 112 |
| Logan Evans | INT | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | FPL | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Miles Bergman | BPR | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 106 |
| Todd Marshall | BPL | 14.1 / - | 1.3 / - | 7.8 / - | 1.3 / - | 75 / - |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Christian Moraes | HFFL | 13.8 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 96 |
| Lachie Jones | FB | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 11.0 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.3 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 116 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Corey Durdin | INT | 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 49 / outside our 90% range: 81 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 30.6 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 114 / inside our 50% range: 107 |
| Max Holmes | R | 29.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Tanner Bruhn | INT | 22.2 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| James Worpel | INT | 21.6 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Tom Stewart | BPR | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Jack Bowes | INT | 17.2 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFR | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Lawson Humphries | HBFL | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Mark O'Connor | INT | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Shaun Mannagh | CHF | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Mark Blicavs | WR | 14.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 14 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 14.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | CHB | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Jeremy Cameron | HFFL | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Oisin Mullin | INT | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Sam De Koning | BPL | 12.7 / - | 0.1 / - | 5.0 / - | 1.5 / - | 55 / - |
| Jack Martin | FPR | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Jack Henry | FB | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Oliver Henry | HFFR | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 9.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / outside our 90% range: 20 |