Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans

Thu 23 Apr 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIP

WB by 4

WB to win, 55% chance

WB 55%45% SYD

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 66

MISS Actual margin 66 · 69.6 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Marcus Bontempelli	C	102	-	-	91%	83%	70%	54%	37%	114
Matthew Kennedy	RR	100	-	-	90%	80%	66%	50%	33%	54
Ed Richards	R	97	-	-	87%	76%	61%	44%	28%	74
Adam Treloar	HFFR	96	-	-	87%	76%	61%	44%	28%	80
Bailey Dale	HBFR	88	-	-	79%	64%	47%	30%	17%	109
Bailey Williams	WR	82	-	-	70%	53%	36%	21%	10%	107
Ryley Sanders	HFFL	78	-	-	65%	47%	30%	16%	8%	97
Joel Freijah	FPL	74	-	-	58%	40%	23%	12%	5%	64
Rhylee West	FPR	67	-	-	44%	26%	13%	6%	2%	35
Lachlan Bramble	INT	66	-	-	42%	24%	12%	5%	2%	81
Oskar Baker	WL	66	-	-	41%	24%	12%	5%	2%	58
Lachie Jaques	HBFL	65	-	-	41%	24%	11%	5%	2%	57
Aaron Naughton	FF	64	-	-	39%	22%	10%	4%	1%	35
Will Lewis	CHF	58	-	-	28%	14%	6%	2%	0%	23
Sam Davidson	INT	57	-	-	26%	12%	5%	2%	0%	62
Lachlan Smith	RK	55	-	-	22%	10%	4%	1%	0%	58
Louis Emmett	INT	53	-	-	19%	8%	3%	1%	0%	61
Michael Sellwood	BPL	52	-	-	18%	8%	2%	1%	0%	63
Jedd Busslinger	CHB	51	-	-	16%	7%	2%	1%	0%	69
Buku Khamis	FB	48	-	-	12%	5%	1%	0%	0%	26
Josh Dolan	INT	48	-	-	12%	4%	1%	0%	0%	57
Cooper Hynes	INT	47	-	-	12%	4%	1%	0%	0%	45
Ryan Gardner	BPR	44	-	-	8%	3%	1%	0%	0%	11

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Brodie Grundy	RK	103	-	-	92%	83%	71%	55%	38%	116
Justin McInerney	R	87	-	-	78%	63%	45%	29%	16%	75
Callum Mills	HBFL	85	-	-	74%	58%	40%	24%	13%	84
Chad Warner	CHF	83	-	-	73%	56%	38%	23%	12%	121
Nick Blakey	CHB	81	-	-	69%	52%	34%	19%	9%	66
James Rowbottom	C	76	-	-	60%	42%	26%	13%	6%	65
Matt Roberts	WR	72	-	-	53%	35%	20%	9%	4%	92
Riley Bice	HBFR	72	-	-	54%	36%	20%	10%	4%	70
Tom Papley	HFFR	68	-	-	47%	29%	15%	7%	2%	91
Angus Sheldrick	INT	67	-	-	45%	27%	14%	6%	2%	79
Jake Lloyd	INT	67	-	-	45%	27%	14%	6%	2%	103
Charlie Curnow	FF	62	-	-	36%	20%	9%	3%	1%	115
Jai Serong	WL	60	-	-	32%	16%	7%	2%	1%	80
Tom McCartin	FB	60	-	-	32%	16%	7%	2%	1%	91
James Jordon	RR	56	-	-	23%	11%	4%	1%	0%	62
Logan McDonald	HFFL	56	-	-	24%	11%	4%	1%	0%	26
Sam Wicks	INT	54	-	-	21%	9%	3%	1%	0%	62
Billy Cootee	INT	52	-	-	18%	8%	3%	1%	0%	38
Harry Cunningham	INT	52	-	-	18%	8%	3%	1%	0%	44
William Edwards	BPL	52	-	-	18%	8%	3%	1%	0%	48
Joel Amartey	FPL	51	-	-	16%	7%	2%	0%	0%	49
Dane Rampe	BPR	49	-	-	13%	5%	2%	0%	0%	40
Malcolm Rosas	FPR	48	-	-	12%	4%	1%	0%	0%	53