Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans

Thu 23 Apr 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIP

WB by 4

WB to win, 55% chance

WB 55%45% SYD

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 66

MISS Actual margin 66 · 69.6 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Western Bulldogs

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Aaron Naughton	FF	2.0	-	-	76%	50%	24%	8%	2%	1.0
Rhylee West	FPR	1.3	-	-	59%	26%	6%	1%	0%	0.0
Marcus Bontempelli	C	0.9	-	-	45%	12%	1%	0%	0%	2.0
Sam Davidson	INT	0.8	-	-	42%	10%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Josh Dolan	INT	0.7	-	-	36%	6%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Oskar Baker	WL	0.7	-	-	38%	8%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Cooper Hynes	INT	0.6	-	-	28%	3%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Matthew Kennedy	RR	0.6	-	-	30%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Adam Treloar	HFFR	0.5	-	-	22%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Ed Richards	R	0.5	-	-	21%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Bailey Williams	WR	0.4	-	-	20%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Joel Freijah	FPL	0.4	-	-	19%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachlan Smith	RK	0.4	-	-	16%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Louis Emmett	INT	0.4	-	-	17%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Will Lewis	CHF	0.4	-	-	20%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Ryley Sanders	HFFL	0.3	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Jaques	HBFL	0.2	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachlan Bramble	INT	0.2	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Bailey Dale	HBFR	0.1	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Buku Khamis	FB	0.1	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jedd Busslinger	CHB	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Michael Sellwood	BPL	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Ryan Gardner	BPR	-0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Charlie Curnow	FF	2.3	-	-	80%	58%	32%	13%	4%	7.0
Joel Amartey	FPL	1.8	-	-	72%	43%	18%	5%	1%	3.0
Tom Papley	HFFR	1.5	-	-	66%	35%	12%	2%	0%	1.0
Logan McDonald	HFFL	1.1	-	-	52%	18%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Chad Warner	CHF	1.0	-	-	49%	15%	2%	0%	0%	3.0
Malcolm Rosas	FPR	0.8	-	-	41%	9%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Justin McInerney	R	0.6	-	-	28%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Angus Sheldrick	INT	0.5	-	-	22%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Billy Cootee	INT	0.4	-	-	16%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Jake Lloyd	INT	0.4	-	-	20%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
James Jordon	RR	0.4	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
William Edwards	BPL	0.4	-	-	16%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Brodie Grundy	RK	0.3	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
James Rowbottom	C	0.3	-	-	12%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Callum Mills	HBFL	0.2	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Harry Cunningham	INT	0.2	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Matt Roberts	WR	0.2	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Wicks	INT	0.2	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jai Serong	WL	0.1	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Nick Blakey	CHB	0.1	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Riley Bice	HBFR	0.1	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Dane Rampe	BPR	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom McCartin	FB	0.0	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0