AFL · ROUND 7 · MARVEL STADIUM
Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans
Thu 23 Apr 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
WB by 4
WB to win, 55% chance
WB 55%45% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 66
MISS Actual margin 66 · 69.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 4.9 | - | - | 77% | 64% | 48% | 32% | 20% | 5.0 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 4.7 | - | - | 75% | 61% | 44% | 29% | 17% | 5.0 |
| Ed Richards | R | 4.1 | - | - | 69% | 53% | 36% | 21% | 11% | 5.0 |
| Adam Treloar | HFFR | 3.6 | - | - | 61% | 42% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 2.0 |
| Ryley Sanders | HFFL | 3.3 | - | - | 56% | 37% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 7.0 |
| Joel Freijah | FPL | 2.6 | - | - | 41% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 6.0 |
| Rhylee West | FPR | 2.6 | - | - | 41% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1.0 |
| Bailey Williams | WR | 2.1 | - | - | 29% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Cooper Hynes | INT | 2.1 | - | - | 28% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Sam Davidson | INT | 2.1 | - | - | 29% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Josh Dolan | INT | 1.9 | - | - | 23% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Lachlan Bramble | INT | 1.8 | - | - | 22% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Louis Emmett | INT | 1.8 | - | - | 20% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 4.0 |
| Will Lewis | CHF | 1.8 | - | - | 23% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 1.7 | - | - | 18% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Oskar Baker | WL | 1.7 | - | - | 18% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 1.6 | - | - | 16% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Lachie Jaques | HBFL | 1.6 | - | - | 17% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Lachlan Smith | RK | 1.5 | - | - | 14% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5.0 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 1.4 | - | - | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Jedd Busslinger | CHB | 1.4 | - | - | 12% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 1.3 | - | - | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Ryan Gardner | BPR | 1.3 | - | - | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Rowbottom | C | 6.0 | - | - | 86% | 76% | 64% | 50% | 35% | 4.0 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 3.9 | - | - | 66% | 48% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 4.0 |
| Chad Warner | CHF | 3.1 | - | - | 52% | 32% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 7.0 |
| James Jordon | RR | 3.1 | - | - | 52% | 33% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 7.0 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 2.8 | - | - | 46% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Justin McInerney | R | 2.3 | - | - | 35% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Callum Mills | HBFL | 2.1 | - | - | 28% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 2.1 | - | - | 30% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Tom Papley | HFFR | 2.1 | - | - | 28% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 4.0 |
| Jake Lloyd | INT | 2.0 | - | - | 26% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Malcolm Rosas | FPR | 2.0 | - | - | 27% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 5.0 |
| Riley Bice | HBFR | 2.0 | - | - | 25% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Sam Wicks | INT | 2.0 | - | - | 27% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Harry Cunningham | INT | 1.9 | - | - | 24% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 1.9 | - | - | 24% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Dane Rampe | BPR | 1.8 | - | - | 22% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 1.7 | - | - | 18% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Billy Cootee | INT | 1.5 | - | - | 14% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
| William Edwards | BPL | 1.5 | - | - | 14% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Logan McDonald | HFFL | 1.3 | - | - | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 1.2 | - | - | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 1.0 | - | - | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 0.8 | - | - | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3.0 |