AFL · ROUND 8 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Port Adelaide
Fri 1 May 2026, 7:40pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
ADE by 20
ADE to win, 75% chance
ADE 75%25% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 1
HIT Actual margin 1 · 18.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Laird | HBFL | 23.8 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Josh Worrell | BPL | 23.3 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 22.4 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Sam Berry | RR | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 81 / outside our 90% range: 156 |
| James Peatling | R | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jake Soligo | INT | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | INT | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Daniel Curtin | FPL | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 15.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 28 |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Isaac Cumming | WL | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Ben Keays | C | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Hugh Bond | INT | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
| Jordon Butts | CHB | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 11.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 0 |
| Toby Murray | INT | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Zac Taylor | FPR | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| James Borlase | FB | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Luke Pedlar | INT | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 30.3 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 112 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 118 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 22.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 21.4 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Willem Drew | R | 19.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Jase Burgoyne | HBFL | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Logan Evans | INT | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Miles Bergman | BPR | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | FPL | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.4 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Todd Marshall | BPL | 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 28 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 13.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Christian Moraes | HFFL | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Lachie Jones | FB | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 100 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Corey Durdin | INT | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 8.0 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 36 |