AFL · ROUND 8 · MARVEL STADIUM
Carlton v St Kilda
Sat 2 May 2026, 7:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
STK by 1
STK to win, 51% chance
CAR 49%51% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
STK by 39
HIT Actual margin 39 · 38.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walsh | R | 28.4 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Patrick Cripps | C | 24.9 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.8 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 94 / outside our 90% range: 48 |
| Nic Newman | HBFR | 23.8 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.5 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 122 |
| Adam Cerra | RR | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Oliver Florent | HBFL | 21.0 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Oliver Hollands | WL | 19.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Jagga Smith | CHF | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Zac Williams | HFFL | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Nick Haynes | INT | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Lachlan Cowan | INT | 16.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 27 |
| Adam Saad | BPR | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Matthew Cottrell | INT | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Ben Ainsworth | FPL | 14.1 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Jacob Weitering | FB | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Matthew Carroll | WR | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Harry McKay | FPR | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Marc Pittonet | RK | 13.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / outside our 90% range: 27 |
| Francis Evans | HFFR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Will Hayward | INT | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Harry Dean | BPL | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Mitch McGovern | CHB | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Brodie Kemp | FF | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / outside our 90% range: 103 |
| Liam Reidy | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Sinclair | R | 29.8 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | HBFR | 29.5 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Sam Flanders | RR | 26.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Marcus Windhager | WL | 25.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 23.5 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Bradley Hill | CHB | 22.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 7.1 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Hugo Garcia | INT | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Max Hall | C | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Rowan Marshall | FPR | 17.9 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / outside our 90% range: 124 |
| Darcy Wilson | WR | 16.8 / - | 0.3 / - | 3.8 / - | 2.1 / - | 66 / - |
| Liam Henry | INT | 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Mason Wood | FPL | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Jack Carroll | HBFL | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | CHF | 12.8 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Mitch Owens | HFFR | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Liam Stocker | INT | 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / outside our 90% range: 7 |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Dougal Howard | INT | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Jack Higgins | HFFL | 10.7 / - | 1.8 / - | 3.4 / - | 2.1 / - | 58 / - |
| Anthony Caminiti | BPR | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Dan Butler | INT | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 25 |