AFL · ROUND 8 · MCG
Collingwood v Hawthorn
Thu 30 Apr 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
HAW by 4
HAW to win, 56% chance
COL 44%56% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Draw
HIT Actual margin 0 · 4.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | RR | 33.5 / inside our 50% range: 34.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 115 / inside our 50% range: 124 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 27.4 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Jack Crisp | WR | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Dan Houston | INT | 20.6 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 79 / outside our 90% range: 118 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPR | 19.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Patrick Lipinski | CHF | 19.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Steele Sidebottom | INT | 18.6 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Harry Perryman | HBFL | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Jordan De Goey | R | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Ned Long | C | 16.6 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFR | 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFL | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Angus Anderson | INT | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 30 |
| Roan Steele | WL | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Jamie Elliott | FF | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Wil Parker | INT | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Darcy Moore | FB | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 41 / inside our 90% range: 19 |
| Daniel McStay | FPL | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Oscar Steene | FPR | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jack Buller | INT | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| William Hayes | HFFR | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Newcombe | RR | 25.9 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Josh Ward | R | 22.3 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Jarman Impey | BPR | 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Karl Amon | WR | 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 113 |
| James Sicily | BPL | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Jack Ginnivan | INT | 20.0 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Conor Nash | INT | 19.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Dylan Moore | FPL | 19.5 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Connor Macdonald | HFFL | 19.1 / outside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Josh Battle | CHB | 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Massimo D'Ambrosio | WL | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Blake Hardwick | HBFR | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Cam Mackenzie | C | 17.2 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Jack Scrimshaw | HBFL | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Josh Weddle | INT | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Finn Maginness | INT | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Lloyd Meek | INT | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Nick Watson | FPR | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Mitch Lewis | CHF | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Tom Barrass | FB | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Jack Gunston | HFFR | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Ned Reeves | RK | 9.0 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Calsher Dear | FF | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 45 |