AFL · ROUND 8 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v North Melbourne
Sat 2 May 2026, 4:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 30
GEE to win, 84% chance
GEE 84%16% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 49
HIT Actual margin 49 · 19.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 29.6 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 112 / outside our 90% range: 71 |
| Max Holmes | R | 28.8 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 107 |
| Tanner Bruhn | INT | 22.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| James Worpel | INT | 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Tom Stewart | BPR | 19.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WR | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Zach Guthrie | CHB | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Shaun Mannagh | CHF | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Mark O'Connor | WL | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Jeremy Cameron | HFFL | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | BPL | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Jake Kolodjashnij | HBFR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sam De Koning | HBFL | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Oisin Mullin | INT | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Jack Martin | FPR | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Jack Henry | FB | 11.0 / - | 0.0 / - | 5.8 / - | 0.9 / - | 51 / - |
| Oliver Henry | INT | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 31.1 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 107 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | RR | 27.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 24.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Luke Parker | HBFR | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Colby McKercher | HBFL | 23.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Jy Simpkin | WL | 22.5 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Tom Powell | INT | 19.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Finn O'Sullivan | C | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| George Wardlaw | INT | 18.0 / - | -0.0 / - | 2.2 / - | 5.0 / - | 74 / - |
| Tristan Xerri | RK | 17.8 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 131 |
| Luke McDonald | INT | 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Charlie Comben | BPR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Charlie Spargo | HFFR | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Aidan Corr | BPL | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Jack Darling | FPR | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Griffin Logue | FB | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Paul Curtis | HFFL | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Lachy Dovaston | INT | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Zane Duursma | INT | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 53 |