AFL · ROUND 8 · SCG
Sydney Swans v Melbourne
Sun 3 May 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 27
SYD to win, 82% chance
SYD 82%18% MEL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 17
HIT Actual margin 17 · 10.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 110 |
| Justin McInerney | R | 23.7 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Nick Blakey | HBFL | 22.9 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Chad Warner | C | 22.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Callum Mills | CHB | 22.2 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 111 |
| Riley Bice | HBFR | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 128 |
| Matt Roberts | WR | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| James Rowbottom | INT | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Tom Papley | CHF | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Jai Serong | WL | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Jake Lloyd | HFFR | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Sam Wicks | INT | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| James Jordon | HFFL | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Dane Rampe | BPR | 14.0 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Malcolm Rosas | FPR | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 102 |
| Logan McDonald | INT | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Lewis Melican | FB | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| William Edwards | BPL | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Billy Cootee | INT | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Joel Amartey | FPL | 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Steele | C | 25.0 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | FPR | 23.3 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 22.1 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Ed Langdon | WR | 19.6 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Harvey Langford | RR | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | INT | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Caleb Windsor | R | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Changkuoth Jiath | HBFR | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Kade Chandler | WL | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Jake Lever | FB | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Bailey Laurie | INT | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Bayley Fritsch | HFFL | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Blake Howes | BPR | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Tom Sparrow | CHB | 13.7 / outside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 101 |
| Harry Sharp | FPL | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Daniel Turner | BPL | 13.1 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Latrelle Pickett | INT | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Jacob van Rooyen | FF | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Paddy Cross | HBFL | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Brody Mihocek | CHF | 10.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / outside our 90% range: 11 |
| Matthew Jefferson | HFFR | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Harrison Petty | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Max Heath | INT | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 50 |