AFL · ROUND 8 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Richmond
Sat 2 May 2026, 2:15pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
WCE by 6
WCE to win, 58% chance
WCE 58%42% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
RIC by 11
MISS Actual margin 11 · 17.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom McCarthy | HBFL | 88 | 73 to 103 | 51 to 125 | 79% | 64% | 46% | 30% | 17% | inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 83 | 68 to 98 | 46 to 119 | 72% | 55% | 37% | 22% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 83 | 68 to 97 | 46 to 119 | 72% | 55% | 37% | 22% | 11% | inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 80 | 65 to 94 | 44 to 116 | 67% | 50% | 32% | 18% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 80 | 65 to 94 | 44 to 116 | 67% | 50% | 32% | 18% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 75 | 60 to 89 | 39 to 110 | 59% | 40% | 24% | 12% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 72 | 58 to 86 | 37 to 107 | 53% | 35% | 20% | 9% | 4% | outside our 90% range: 116 |
| Ryan Maric | WR | 72 | 58 to 86 | 37 to 106 | 53% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Josh Lindsay | HBFR | 71 | 57 to 85 | 36 to 106 | 52% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Liam Baker | HFFR | 71 | 57 to 85 | 36 to 106 | 51% | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Milan Murdock | FPR | 69 | 55 to 82 | 34 to 103 | 47% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 68 | 54 to 82 | 34 to 102 | 46% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 67 | 54 to 81 | 33 to 102 | 45% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 64 | 50 to 77 | 30 to 97 | 38% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 61 | 48 to 75 | 28 to 95 | 33% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Elijah Hewett | HFFL | 60 | 47 to 74 | 27 to 93 | 31% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 21 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 56 | 43 to 70 | 24 to 89 | 25% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Reuben Ginbey | FB | 54 | 40 to 66 | 21 to 86 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 54 | 41 to 67 | 22 to 86 | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 51 | 38 to 64 | 20 to 83 | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Matthew Owies | INT | 50 | 37 to 62 | 18 to 81 | 14% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | INT | 47 | 35 to 60 | 16 to 78 | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Malakai Champion | FPL | 47 | 34 to 59 | 16 to 78 | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 30 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Short | CHB | 87 | 72 to 102 | 50 to 124 | 78% | 62% | 45% | 28% | 16% | inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Jack Ross | RR | 86 | 72 to 101 | 50 to 124 | 77% | 61% | 44% | 28% | 15% | inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Jacob Hopper | R | 85 | 70 to 100 | 48 to 122 | 75% | 59% | 41% | 25% | 13% | inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Dion Prestia | C | 78 | 64 to 93 | 42 to 114 | 65% | 47% | 30% | 16% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 0 |
| Kane McAuliffe | WR | 66 | 52 to 80 | 32 to 100 | 43% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Tyler Sonsie | FF | 66 | 52 to 79 | 32 to 100 | 41% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Nathan Broad | HBFL | 65 | 51 to 79 | 31 to 99 | 41% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 64 | 50 to 78 | 30 to 98 | 38% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Nick Vlastuin | BPL | 63 | 49 to 77 | 29 to 97 | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Sam Grlj | HBFR | 63 | 49 to 76 | 29 to 96 | 36% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Seth Campbell | HFFL | 62 | 49 to 76 | 29 to 96 | 36% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Noah Balta | BPR | 58 | 44 to 71 | 25 to 90 | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 119 |
| Tom Lynch | FPR | 58 | 44 to 71 | 25 to 91 | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Tom Burton | INT | 56 | 42 to 68 | 23 to 88 | 23% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Oliver Hayes-Brown | RK | 55 | 42 to 68 | 22 to 87 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Tom Brown | INT | 55 | 42 to 68 | 22 to 87 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 99 |
| James Trezise | INT | 54 | 41 to 67 | 22 to 86 | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Mykelti Lefau | INT | 54 | 41 to 67 | 22 to 86 | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 52 | 40 to 65 | 20 to 84 | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Steely Green | HFFR | 50 | 37 to 62 | 18 to 81 | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Campbell Gray | INT | 45 | 33 to 58 | 15 to 76 | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Jonty Faull | FPL | 44 | 32 to 56 | 14 to 74 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Sam Cumming | CHF | 44 | 32 to 57 | 14 to 75 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 86 |