AFL · ROUND 8 · MARVEL STADIUM
Western Bulldogs v Fremantle
Fri 1 May 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
WB by 3
WB to win, 54% chance
WB 54%46% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 12
MISS Actual margin 12 · 14.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 27.0 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Ed Richards | R | 26.3 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 25.6 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 111 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 24.9 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 91 / inside our 90% range: 129 |
| Ryley Sanders | HFFL | 23.1 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Bailey Williams | WR | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Tim English | RK | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Joel Freijah | FPL | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Lachlan Bramble | INT | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Rhylee West | FPR | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Harvey Gallagher | HBFL | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Sam Davidson | INT | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Nick Coffield | BPR | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Lachlan McNeil | INT | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Jedd Busslinger | CHB | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Laitham Vandermeer | HFFR | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 10.6 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Josh Dolan | INT | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Arthur Jones | WL | 8.9 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Will Lewis | CHF | 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Louis Emmett | INT | 8.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / outside our 90% range: 4 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Serong | R | 27.6 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 24.2 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Hayden Young | RR | 21.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Shai Bolton | HFFL | 20.9 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Murphy Reid | CHF | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 129 |
| Matthew Johnson | WR | 18.5 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 67 / outside our 90% range: 16 |
| Neil Erasmus | INT | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Karl Worner | HBFR | 15.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Jeremy Sharp | INT | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Michael Frederick | WL | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Patrick Voss | FPL | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / outside our 90% range: 22 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Jye Amiss | FPR | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 70 |