AFL · ROUND 9 · OPTUS STADIUM
Fremantle v Hawthorn
Thu 7 May 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
FRE by 4
FRE to win, 55% chance
FRE 55%45% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 15
HIT Actual margin 15 · 11.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Serong | R | 25.8 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 24.7 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 23.6 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Shai Bolton | HFFL | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Hayden Young | RR | 20.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Murphy Reid | CHF | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 128 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Neil Erasmus | WL | 17.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Matthew Johnson | WR | 17.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 22 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Judd McVee | INT | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 28 |
| Karl Worner | HBFR | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Michael Frederick | INT | 12.2 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 96 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 11.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 11.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Patrick Voss | FPL | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Jye Amiss | FPR | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Newcombe | RR | 26.6 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Karl Amon | INT | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Jarman Impey | BPR | 22.2 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Josh Ward | R | 21.3 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Conor Nash | INT | 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Josh Battle | CHB | 19.7 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.7 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| Jack Ginnivan | INT | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| James Sicily | BPL | 19.6 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Massimo D'Ambrosio | WL | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Dylan Moore | FPL | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Connor Macdonald | INT | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Blake Hardwick | HBFR | 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Cam Mackenzie | C | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Josh Weddle | WR | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Nick Watson | FPR | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Lloyd Meek | INT | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Bodie Ryan | HBFL | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Mitch Lewis | FF | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Tom Barrass | FB | 11.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / outside our 90% range: 2 |
| Jack Gunston | HFFR | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / outside our 90% range: 100 |
| Sam Butler | HFFL | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Ned Reeves | RK | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 28 |
| Max Ramsden | CHF | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 28 |