HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 9GWS v ESS
AFL · ROUND 9 · ENGIE STADIUM

GWS GIANTS v Essendon

Sat 9 May 2026, 4:15pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

GWS by 42

GWS to win, 92% chance

GWS 92%8% ESS
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GWS by 14

HIT Actual margin 14 · 28.3 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Clayton Oliver C 29.9 / inside our 50% range: 26.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.05.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0100 / inside our 90% range: 83
Finn Callaghan R 28.9 / inside our 50% range: 30.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.099 / inside our 50% range: 95
Lachie Whitfield HBFR 28.5 / inside our 90% range: 35.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0103 / inside our 90% range: 125
Lachie Ash INT 28.3 / inside our 90% range: 23.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0101 / inside our 50% range: 89
Toby Greene RR 22.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.01.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.03.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.03.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.090 / inside our 50% range: 99
Connor Idun BPR 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 24.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.068 / inside our 90% range: 83
Harvey Thomas WR 17.9 / inside our 90% range: 23.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.03.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.073 / inside our 50% range: 73
Brent Daniels CHF 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.073 / inside our 50% range: 77
Harry Himmelberg HBFL 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.05.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.066 / inside our 50% range: 62
Joe Fonti CHB 16.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.069 / inside our 90% range: 46
Stephen Coniglio INT 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.068 / inside our 90% range: 50
Jayden Laverde BPL 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 19.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.0 / outside our 90% range: 12.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.064 / inside our 90% range: 91
Phoenix Gothard HFFR 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.058 / inside our 90% range: 37
James Leake INT 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.060 / inside our 90% range: 41
Kieren Briggs RK 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.074 / inside our 50% range: 85
Jake Riccardi FPR 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.04.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.066 / inside our 50% range: 69
Jake Stringer FF 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.01.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.03.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.02.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.061 / inside our 50% range: 70
Toby McMullin WL 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.051 / outside our 90% range: 13
Jack Buckley FB 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.052 / inside our 50% range: 49
Toby Bedford HFFL 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.054 / inside our 50% range: 53
Aaron Cadman FPL 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.04.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.057 / inside our 90% range: 72
Oliver Hannaford INT 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.046 / inside our 90% range: 18
Max Gruzewski INT 7.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.03.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.043 / inside our 90% range: 28

Essendon

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Archie Roberts HBFL 28.0 / outside our 90% range: 42.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.2 / outside our 90% range: 11.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.094 / outside our 90% range: 157
Darcy Parish C 27.6 / inside our 90% range: 23.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.04.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.095 / inside our 50% range: 93
Zach Merrett RR 26.8 / inside our 90% range: 31.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.04.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.099 / inside our 50% range: 111
Mason Redman CHB 23.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.06.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.092 / inside our 90% range: 75
Andrew McGrath BPR 21.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.077 / inside our 50% range: 83
Zak Johnson INT 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.065 / inside our 90% range: 45
Jaxon Prior BPL 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.071 / inside our 50% range: 64
Sam Durham R 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 26.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.071 / inside our 90% range: 93
Jacob Farrow HBFR 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.069 / inside our 90% range: 43
Xavier Duursma WL 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.05.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.066 / inside our 50% range: 60
Kyle Langford FF 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.070 / inside our 50% range: 65
Archie Perkins FPR 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.00.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.6 / outside our 90% range: 10.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.061 / inside our 90% range: 94
Zach Reid FB 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.060 / inside our 90% range: 43
Archer Day-Wicks WR 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.055 / inside our 50% range: 42
Peter Wright RK 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.00.5 / outside our 90% range: 3.04.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.072 / inside our 90% range: 101
Nick Bryan INT 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.067 / inside our 50% range: 58
Jayden Nguyen INT 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.046 / inside our 50% range: 44
Nik Cox INT 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.048 / inside our 50% range: 36
Nate Caddy CHF 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.00.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.053 / inside our 90% range: 71
Lachlan Blakiston INT 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.044 / inside our 50% range: 51
Dyson Sharp HFFL 9.0 / outside our 90% range: 17.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.047 / inside our 50% range: 56
Sullivan Robey HFFR 8.8 / outside our 90% range: 20.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.045 / outside our 90% range: 79
Archer May FPL 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.049 / inside our 50% range: 50