AFL · ROUND 9 · MCG
Geelong Cats v Collingwood
Sat 9 May 2026, 7:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 10
GEE to win, 64% chance
GEE 64%36% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 54
HIT Actual margin 54 · 43.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 29.3 / outside our 90% range: 40.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 112 / inside our 50% range: 127 |
| Max Holmes | R | 28.5 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Tanner Bruhn | INT | 22.2 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| James Worpel | INT | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Tom Stewart | BPR | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.9 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 86 / outside our 90% range: 41 |
| Jack Bowes | WL | 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WR | 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 17.6 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Zach Guthrie | CHB | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Shaun Mannagh | CHF | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Mark O'Connor | BPL | 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Oisin Mullin | HBFL | 13.5 / outside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Jeremy Cameron | HFFL | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Sam De Koning | INT | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Jake Kolodjashnij | HBFR | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Jack Martin | FPR | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Rhys Stanley | RK | 10.4 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 9.8 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Oliver Henry | INT | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | R | 30.8 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 26.7 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Scott Pendlebury | RR | 22.9 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 100 |
| Dan Houston | HBFR | 21.5 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Jack Crisp | INT | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Brayden Maynard | INT | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Patrick Lipinski | WL | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Ned Long | C | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Steele Sidebottom | HFFL | 17.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFL | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jeremy Howe | BPR | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 107 |
| Jordan De Goey | INT | 15.2 / outside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 118 |
| Angus Anderson | INT | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Darcy Cameron | INT | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Beau McCreery | CHF | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Roan Steele | WR | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFR | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Jamie Elliott | FF | 11.0 / outside our 90% range: 21.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Darcy Moore | FB | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 39 / inside our 90% range: 15 |
| Jack Buller | FPL | 8.9 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / outside our 90% range: 86 |
| Daniel McStay | FPR | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Oscar Steene | RK | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 51 |