HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 9NM v SYD
AFL · ROUND 9 · MARVEL STADIUM

North Melbourne v Sydney Swans

Sat 9 May 2026, 1:15pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

SYD by 19

SYD to win, 75% chance

NM 25%75% SYD
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

SYD by 8

HIT Actual margin 8 · 11.3 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 29 Mar 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Harry Sheezel R 31.3 / inside our 50% range: 31.00.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.05.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.04.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0112 / inside our 50% range: 127
Luke Davies-Uniacke RR 27.3 / inside our 90% range: 34.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.04.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.099 / inside our 90% range: 116
Caleb Daniel CHB 25.4 / inside our 50% range: 25.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.090 / inside our 50% range: 104
Luke Parker HBFR 25.2 / inside our 50% range: 29.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.095 / inside our 90% range: 118
Colby McKercher HBFL 24.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.086 / inside our 50% range: 86
Jy Simpkin WL 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 23.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.04.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.02.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.084 / inside our 50% range: 84
Dylan Stephens WR 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.077 / inside our 50% range: 66
Finn O'Sullivan C 19.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0-0.0 / outside our 90% range: 2.04.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.076 / inside our 50% range: 74
George Wardlaw INT 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 22.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.05.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.076 / inside our 50% range: 78
Tristan Xerri RK 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.06.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0104 / inside our 90% range: 84
Luke McDonald INT 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.072 / inside our 50% range: 66
Tom Blamires INT 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.065 / inside our 50% range: 62
Cameron Zurhaar FPL 12.7 / outside our 90% range: 22.00.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.064 / outside our 90% range: 110
Charlie Spargo HFFR 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.00.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.058 / inside our 50% range: 48
Paul Curtis HFFL 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.01.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.068 / inside our 90% range: 49
Charlie Comben BPR 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.052 / inside our 50% range: 39
Griffin Logue FB 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.049 / inside our 50% range: 47
Jacob Konstanty INT 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.055 / inside our 50% range: 44
Nick Larkey FF 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.061 / inside our 90% range: 39
Jack Darling INT 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.00.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.03.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.062 / inside our 50% range: 58
Wil Dawson BPL 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.042 / inside our 90% range: 59
Cooper Trembath CHF 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.01.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.049 / inside our 50% range: 38
Zane Duursma FPR 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.02.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.045 / inside our 50% range: 53

Sydney Swans

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Justin McInerney R 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.084 / inside our 50% range: 78
Isaac Heeney RR 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.01.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.04.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.04.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.091 / inside our 50% range: 92
Nick Blakey HBFL 23.9 / inside our 50% range: 26.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.084 / inside our 50% range: 76
Callum Mills CHB 22.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.02.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.080 / inside our 50% range: 91
Chad Warner C 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 18.01.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.083 / inside our 90% range: 63
Matt Roberts WR 21.3 / outside our 90% range: 6.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.078 / outside our 90% range: 28
Brodie Grundy RK 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.03.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.096 / outside our 90% range: 54
Riley Bice HBFR 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 22.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.074 / inside our 50% range: 68
Angus Sheldrick INT 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.03.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.068 / inside our 50% range: 64
Jake Lloyd HFFR 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.00.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.05.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.069 / inside our 50% range: 80
Sam Wicks INT 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.059 / inside our 50% range: 55
Tom Papley CHF 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.01.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.068 / inside our 90% range: 83
James Rowbottom INT 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.06.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.076 / outside our 90% range: 40
James Jordon HFFL 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.060 / inside our 50% range: 49
Dane Rampe BPR 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 18.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.052 / inside our 50% range: 61
Harry Cunningham WL 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.052 / inside our 90% range: 71
Malcolm Rosas FPR 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.052 / inside our 90% range: 35
William Edwards BPL 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0-0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.047 / inside our 90% range: 31
Hayden McLean FF 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.01.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.060 / inside our 90% range: 74
Logan McDonald INT 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.01.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.04.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.055 / inside our 50% range: 43
Lewis Melican FB 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.01.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.037 / inside our 50% range: 37
Joel Amartey FPL 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.053 / inside our 50% range: 40
Billy Cootee INT 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.00.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.048 / inside our 50% range: 50