AFL · ROUND 9 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
Fri 8 May 2026, 7:40pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
PA by 1
PA to win, 51% chance
PA 51%49% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 2
MISS Actual margin 2 · 2.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Butters | RR | 29.7 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 24.7 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Kane Farrell | HBFR | 20.7 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 83 / outside our 90% range: 122 |
| Willem Drew | R | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Jase Burgoyne | INT | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Jack Watkins | INT | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Miles Bergman | BPR | 15.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / outside our 90% range: 17 |
| Joe Richards | FPR | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Logan Evans | BPL | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 63 / outside our 90% range: 111 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 65 / outside our 90% range: 102 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Jacob Wehr | WR | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Christian Moraes | HFFL | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Ewan Mackinlay | WL | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Mitch Georgiades | CHF | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Lachie Jones | FB | 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Josh Lai | INT | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 7.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 27.1 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 99 / outside our 90% range: 143 |
| Ed Richards | R | 24.8 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 24.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Ryley Sanders | HFFL | 22.7 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Bailey Williams | WR | 20.3 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 114 |
| Joel Freijah | FPL | 17.6 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Lachlan Bramble | INT | 17.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / outside our 90% range: 30 |
| Tim English | RK | 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Oskar Baker | INT | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Rhylee West | FPR | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Harvey Gallagher | INT | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Jedd Busslinger | CHB | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Nick Coffield | BPR | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Cooper Hynes | HFFR | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Lachlan McNeil | INT | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Arthur Jones | WL | 9.7 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Lachlan Smith | INT | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Will Lewis | CHF | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 58 |