AFL · ROUND 9 · MCG
Richmond v Adelaide Crows
Sun 10 May 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
ADE by 31
ADE to win, 85% chance
RIC 15%85% ADE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 37
HIT Actual margin 37 · 6.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hopper | INT | 25.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Tim Taranto | C | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Jack Ross | RR | 23.7 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Jayden Short | HBFL | 22.1 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Kane McAuliffe | WR | 19.3 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 30 |
| Luke Trainor | INT | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Sam Grlj | CHB | 18.2 / - | 0.0 / - | 3.9 / - | 2.1 / - | 70 / - |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFR | 17.1 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Tom Brown | INT | 16.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 3 |
| Tyler Sonsie | HFFR | 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Nathan Broad | BPR | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| James Trezise | INT | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Seth Campbell | CHF | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Noah Balta | BPL | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Sam Cumming | R | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / outside our 90% range: 29 |
| Noah Roberts-Thomson | INT | 12.0 / - | 0.0 / - | 3.2 / - | 1.5 / - | 60 / - |
| Tom Burton | INT | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Steely Green | HFFL | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Tom Lynch | FF | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Campbell Gray | INT | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Oliver Hayes-Brown | RK | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Jonty Faull | FPL | 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FPR | 8.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Samson Ryan | INT | 8.2 / - | 0.0 / - | 2.5 / - | 1.7 / - | 60 / - |
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Laird | HBFL | 24.8 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Josh Worrell | BPL | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Jordan Dawson | HFFR | 22.8 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 93 / outside our 90% range: 133 |
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 22.8 / outside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 113 |
| Sam Berry | C | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| James Peatling | INT | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Josh Rachele | RR | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 18.1 / outside our 90% range: 33.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 75 / outside our 90% range: 162 |
| Jake Soligo | R | 16.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 69 / outside our 90% range: 29 |
| Billy Dowling | INT | 16.6 / - | -0.0 / - | 4.0 / - | 2.3 / - | 65 / - |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 16.2 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Daniel Curtin | INT | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | -0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPL | 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Isaac Cumming | WL | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 14.3 / - | -0.0 / - | 3.5 / - | 1.9 / - | 60 / - |
| Ben Keays | FPR | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Hugh Bond | INT | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Nick Murray | CHB | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Toby Murray | FF | 9.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Luke Pedlar | INT | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| James Borlase | FB | 8.3 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 35 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Finnbar Maley | INT | 7.3 / - | 0.7 / - | 2.8 / - | 1.9 / - | 44 / - |