HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 23 (24 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.5 9,981 players R23: 0.6 (413 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 65% 6,494 of 9,981 R23: 66% (271 of 413)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 87% 8,638 of 9,981 R23: 86% (357 of 413)

Round 23

‹ ›
FRI 8:10pm Fremantle v Adelaide CrowsOptus Stadium FRE +15 72% FRE by 24 HIT SAT 12:35pm Richmond v St KildaMCG STK +26 84% STK by 49 HIT SAT 3:45pm North Melbourne v Geelong CatsMarvel Stadium GEE +22 80% GEE by 15 HIT SAT 4:15pm Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast SUNSGabba BRI +36 90% BRI by 42 HIT SAT 7:40pm Hawthorn v CollingwoodMCG HAW +14 70% Draw HIT SAT 8:10pm Port Adelaide v MelbourneAdelaide Oval MEL +26 83% MEL by 76 HIT SUN 1:40pm GWS GIANTS v West Coast EaglesENGIE Stadium GWS +32 88% GWS by 54 HIT SUN 3:15pm Western Bulldogs v CarltonMarvel Stadium CAR +19 77% Draw HIT SUN 4:40pm Essendon v Sydney SwansMCG SYD +41 93% SYD by 36 HIT

Round 23: 9 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R29 46 0.4 67% 91%
R28 92 0.6 61% 82%
R27 92 0.6 60% 85%
R26 183 0.5 68% 89%
R25 92 0.7 51% 84%
R24 414 0.6 70% 85%
R23 413 0.6 66% 86%
R22 412 0.6 63% 85%
R21 414 0.6 62% 87%
R20 413 0.5 69% 86%
R19 411 0.6 67% 86%
R18 411 0.5 64% 86%
R17 413 0.5 68% 86%
R16 322 0.5 66% 87%
R15 322 0.5 64% 87%
R14 322 0.4 69% 89%
R13 368 0.4 68% 88%
R12 322 0.5 66% 85%
R11 412 0.4 67% 87%
R10 411 0.4 66% 88%
R9 413 0.4 67% 89%
R8 410 0.5 66% 86%
R7 408 0.5 64% 86%
R6 413 0.6 63% 87%
R5 414 0.5 64% 87%
R4 363 0.5 61% 85%
R3 321 0.5 65% 87%
R2 319 0.5 61% 86%
R1 413 0.6 60% 85%
R0 222 0.6 65% 87%
This season2026 9,981 0.5 65% 87%
Last season2025 9,137 0.5 66% 86%
All time2 seasons 19,118 0.5 65% 86%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.