HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 16 (17 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE DISPOSALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 3.8 9,981 players R16: 3.6 (322 players)
WITHIN 3 DISPOSALS 49% 4,907 of 9,981 R16: 50% (162 of 322)
WITHIN 5 DISPOSALS 72% 7,187 of 9,981 R16: 74% (237 of 322)

Round 16

‹ ›
THU 7:30pm Brisbane Lions v Sydney SwansGabba SYD +3 55% BRI by 43 MISS FRI 7:40pm Hawthorn v GWS GIANTSMCG HAW +6 59% HAW by 14 HIT SAT 1:15pm Carlton v West Coast EaglesMarvel Stadium CAR +28 85% CAR by 53 HIT SAT 4:15pm Collingwood v RichmondMCG COL +44 94% COL by 34 HIT SAT 7:35pm Port Adelaide v Adelaide CrowsAdelaide Oval ADE +22 80% PA by 26 MISS SUN 3:15pm North Melbourne v EssendonMarvel Stadium NM +17 74% NM by 14 HIT SUN 5:10pm Fremantle v Gold Coast SUNSOptus Stadium FRE +29 86% FRE by 51 HIT

Round 16: 5 of 7 tips correct.

Record: Disposals

R29 46 2.8 63% 85%
R28 92 3.6 55% 77%
R27 92 3.0 60% 83%
R26 183 4.0 45% 70%
R25 92 3.8 45% 72%
R24 414 3.9 49% 73%
R23 413 3.8 49% 72%
R22 412 4.1 47% 68%
R21 414 3.7 46% 74%
R20 413 3.8 51% 72%
R19 411 3.9 49% 71%
R18 411 4.0 47% 71%
R17 413 3.6 50% 75%
R16 322 3.6 50% 74%
R15 322 3.8 46% 75%
R14 322 3.4 56% 79%
R13 368 3.6 54% 74%
R12 322 3.5 54% 75%
R11 412 4.0 50% 69%
R10 411 3.7 52% 75%
R9 413 3.7 50% 73%
R8 410 3.8 50% 70%
R7 408 3.9 47% 70%
R6 413 3.9 47% 69%
R5 414 3.8 46% 71%
R4 363 3.7 50% 72%
R3 321 4.0 47% 69%
R2 319 3.9 50% 71%
R1 413 4.0 46% 68%
R0 222 4.2 43% 66%
This season2026 9,981 3.8 49% 72%
Last season2025 9,137 3.7 50% 73%
All time2 seasons 19,118 3.7 50% 73%

The share of players whose actual disposals landed within 3 and within 5 of the prediction.