HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 3 (4 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.5 9,981 players R3: 0.5 (321 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 65% 6,494 of 9,981 R3: 65% (208 of 321)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 87% 8,638 of 9,981 R3: 87% (280 of 321)

Round 3

‹ ›
THU 7:30pm Geelong Cats v Adelaide CrowsGMHBA Stadium GEE +20 76% GEE by 8 HIT FRI 7:40pm Collingwood v GWS GIANTSMarvel Stadium COL +7 60% COL by 33 HIT SAT 12:35pm St Kilda v Brisbane LionsMarvel Stadium BRI +17 73% BRI by 33 HIT SAT 4:15pm Fremantle v RichmondOptus Stadium FRE +44 93% FRE by 60 HIT SAT 7:35pm Essendon v North MelbourneMarvel Stadium NM +4 56% NM by 12 HIT SUN 12:30pm Port Adelaide v West Coast EaglesAdelaide Oval PA +35 89% WCE by 2 MISS SUN 3:15pm Carlton v MelbourneMCG CAR +2 53% MEL by 23 MISS

Round 3: 5 of 7 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R29 46 0.4 67% 91%
R28 92 0.6 61% 82%
R27 92 0.6 60% 85%
R26 183 0.5 68% 89%
R25 92 0.7 51% 84%
R24 414 0.6 70% 85%
R23 413 0.6 66% 86%
R22 412 0.6 63% 85%
R21 414 0.6 62% 87%
R20 413 0.5 69% 86%
R19 411 0.6 67% 86%
R18 411 0.5 64% 86%
R17 413 0.5 68% 86%
R16 322 0.5 66% 87%
R15 322 0.5 64% 87%
R14 322 0.4 69% 89%
R13 368 0.4 68% 88%
R12 322 0.5 66% 85%
R11 412 0.4 67% 87%
R10 411 0.4 66% 88%
R9 413 0.4 67% 89%
R8 410 0.5 66% 86%
R7 408 0.5 64% 86%
R6 413 0.6 63% 87%
R5 414 0.5 64% 87%
R4 363 0.5 61% 85%
R3 321 0.5 65% 87%
R2 319 0.5 61% 86%
R1 413 0.6 60% 85%
R0 222 0.6 65% 87%
This season2026 9,981 0.5 65% 87%
Last season2025 9,137 0.5 66% 86%
All time2 seasons 19,118 0.5 65% 86%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.