Australian FootballAFL2026

AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 4 (5 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING

AVERAGE ERROR 0.5 9,981 players R4: 0.5 (363 players)

WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 65% 6,494 of 9,981 R4: 61% (223 of 363)

WITHIN 1 GOAL 87% 8,638 of 9,981 R4: 85% (310 of 363)

Round 4

THU 7:30pm Brisbane Lions v CollingwoodGabba BRI +11 65% BRI by 54 HIT FRI 3:15pm North Melbourne v CarltonMarvel Stadium CAR +1 52% NM by 10 MISS FRI 7:15pm Adelaide Crows v FremantleAdelaide Oval ADE +5 57% FRE by 2 MISS SAT 4:15pm Richmond v Port AdelaideMCG PA +8 62% PA by 42 HIT SAT 7:35pm West Coast Eagles v Sydney SwansOptus Stadium SYD +32 86% SYD by 128 HIT SUN 3:15pm Melbourne v Gold Coast SUNSMCG GCS +15 78% MEL by 20 MISS SUN 7:20pm Western Bulldogs v EssendonMarvel Stadium WB +34 94% WB by 34 HIT MON 3:15pm Hawthorn v Geelong CatsMCG GEE +4 57% HAW by 1 MISS

Round 4: 4 of 8 tips correct.

Record

This season 2026 154 of 218 71% 25.3

Last season 2025 157 of 216 73% 26.6

All time 2 seasons 311 of 434 72% 25.9

Tips correct by round

R0 4/5

R1 7/9

R2 5/7

R3 5/7

R4 4/8

R5 6/9

R6 8/9

R7 7/9

R8 7/9

R9 8/9

R10 5/9

R11 4/9

R12 3/7

R13 4/8

R14 5/7

R15 5/7

R16 5/7

R17 6/9

R18 8/9

R19 7/9

R20 8/9

R21 6/9

R22 6/9

R23 9/9

R24 7/9

R25 0/2

R26 2/4

R27 1/2

R28 1/2

R29 1/1

correct tips tips graded

Against the bookmakers: not shown yet (no bookmaker lines on the site).

Record: Disposals

R29 46 2.8 63% 85%

R28 92 3.6 55% 77%

R27 92 3.0 60% 83%

R26 183 4.0 45% 70%

R25 92 3.8 45% 72%

R24 414 3.9 49% 73%

R23 413 3.8 49% 72%

R22 412 4.1 47% 68%

R21 414 3.7 46% 74%

R20 413 3.8 51% 72%

R19 411 3.9 49% 71%

R18 411 4.0 47% 71%

R17 413 3.6 50% 75%

R16 322 3.6 50% 74%

R15 322 3.8 46% 75%

R14 322 3.4 56% 79%

R13 368 3.6 54% 74%

R12 322 3.5 54% 75%

R11 412 4.0 50% 69%

R10 411 3.7 52% 75%

R9 413 3.7 50% 73%

R8 410 3.8 50% 70%

R7 408 3.9 47% 70%

R6 413 3.9 47% 69%

R5 414 3.8 46% 71%

R4 363 3.7 50% 72%

R3 321 4.0 47% 69%

R2 319 3.9 50% 71%

R1 413 4.0 46% 68%

R0 222 4.2 43% 66%

This season2026 9,981 3.8 49% 72%

Last season2025 9,137 3.7 50% 73%

All time2 seasons 19,118 3.7 50% 73%

The share of players whose actual disposals landed within 3 and within 5 of the prediction.

Record: Goals

R29 46 0.4 67% 91%

R28 92 0.6 61% 82%

R27 92 0.6 60% 85%

R26 183 0.5 68% 89%

R25 92 0.7 51% 84%

R24 414 0.6 70% 85%

R23 413 0.6 66% 86%

R22 412 0.6 63% 85%

R21 414 0.6 62% 87%

R20 413 0.5 69% 86%

R19 411 0.6 67% 86%

R18 411 0.5 64% 86%

R17 413 0.5 68% 86%

R16 322 0.5 66% 87%

R15 322 0.5 64% 87%

R14 322 0.4 69% 89%

R13 368 0.4 68% 88%

R12 322 0.5 66% 85%

R11 412 0.4 67% 87%

R10 411 0.4 66% 88%

R9 413 0.4 67% 89%

R8 410 0.5 66% 86%

R7 408 0.5 64% 86%

R6 413 0.6 63% 87%

R5 414 0.5 64% 87%

R4 363 0.5 61% 85%

R3 321 0.5 65% 87%

R2 319 0.5 61% 86%

R1 413 0.6 60% 85%

R0 222 0.6 65% 87%

This season2026 9,981 0.5 65% 87%

Last season2025 9,137 0.5 66% 86%

All time2 seasons 19,118 0.5 65% 86%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.

Record: Marks

R29 46 1.5 43% 70%

R28 92 1.4 39% 75%

R27 92 1.6 38% 71%

R26 183 1.7 35% 67%

R25 92 1.7 40% 65%

R24 414 1.6 44% 72%

R23 413 1.7 38% 69%

R22 412 1.8 37% 65%

R21 414 1.7 35% 71%

R20 413 1.9 38% 65%

R19 411 1.8 36% 67%

R18 411 1.8 36% 64%

R17 413 1.7 41% 70%

R16 322 1.7 38% 70%

R15 322 1.8 39% 67%

R14 322 1.6 46% 70%

R13 368 1.7 39% 66%

R12 322 1.8 37% 69%

R11 412 1.8 36% 67%

R10 411 1.9 32% 61%

R9 413 1.9 35% 62%

R8 410 1.9 36% 63%

R7 408 1.7 39% 69%

R6 413 1.9 35% 62%

R5 414 1.9 34% 60%

R4 363 1.8 37% 66%

R3 321 1.8 32% 62%

R2 319 2.0 37% 61%

R1 413 1.9 30% 62%

R0 222 1.9 33% 62%

This season2026 9,981 1.8 37% 66%

Last season2025 9,137 1.9 33% 61%

All time2 seasons 19,118 1.8 35% 63%

The share of players whose actual marks landed within 1 and within 2 of the prediction.

Record: Tackles

R29 46 1.6 43% 74%

R28 92 1.5 36% 74%

R27 92 1.3 47% 86%

R26 183 1.3 49% 81%

R25 92 1.4 47% 78%

R24 414 1.4 47% 80%

R23 413 1.6 41% 75%

R22 412 1.4 46% 78%

R21 414 1.4 44% 77%

R20 413 1.2 49% 84%

R19 411 1.4 47% 78%

R18 411 1.5 44% 76%

R17 413 1.4 48% 79%

R16 322 1.4 46% 78%

R15 322 1.3 43% 80%

R14 322 1.2 57% 83%

R13 368 1.3 50% 80%

R12 322 1.3 44% 80%

R11 412 1.5 45% 75%

R10 411 1.4 47% 79%

R9 413 1.2 51% 82%

R8 410 1.3 52% 82%

R7 408 1.4 49% 81%

R6 413 1.4 48% 80%

R5 414 1.5 48% 76%

R4 363 1.5 45% 75%

R3 321 1.5 41% 74%

R2 319 1.5 42% 78%

R1 413 1.4 45% 78%

R0 222 2.2 23% 49%

This season2026 9,981 1.4 46% 78%

Last season2025 9,137 1.7 37% 68%

All time2 seasons 19,118 1.5 42% 73%

The share of players whose actual tackles landed within 1 and within 2 of the prediction.

Record: Fantasy

R29 46 14.4 22% 46%

R28 92 16.0 16% 40%

R27 92 14.1 24% 49%

R26 183 18.5 17% 30%

R25 92 17.1 16% 34%

R24 414 17.7 19% 34%

R23 413 16.8 19% 41%

R22 412 18.1 18% 34%

R21 414 17.7 17% 35%

R20 413 17.4 18% 35%

R19 411 17.1 19% 37%

R18 411 18.0 18% 32%

R17 413 16.4 23% 39%

R16 322 16.2 17% 34%

R15 322 16.1 20% 39%

R14 322 14.8 22% 41%

R13 368 15.7 21% 40%

R12 322 16.2 22% 37%

R11 412 16.1 22% 43%

R10 411 16.1 24% 40%

R9 413 16.5 23% 40%

R8 410 17.5 19% 38%

R7 408 17.4 18% 34%

R6 413 16.4 23% 42%

R5 414 16.8 20% 40%

R4 363 16.5 21% 38%

R3 321 17.2 21% 40%

R2 319 17.5 22% 37%

R1 413 17.4 18% 36%

R0 222 17.6 21% 35%

This season2026 9,981 16.9 20% 38%

Last season2025 9,137 16.8 20% 38%

All time2 seasons 19,118 16.8 20% 38%

The share of players whose actual fantasy pts landed within 5 and within 10 of the prediction.