HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 4 (5 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE MARKS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 1.8 9,981 players R4: 1.8 (363 players)
WITHIN 1 MARK 37% 3,677 of 9,981 R4: 37% (135 of 363)
WITHIN 2 MARKS 66% 6,572 of 9,981 R4: 66% (238 of 363)

Round 4

‹ ›
THU 7:30pm Brisbane Lions v CollingwoodGabba BRI +11 65% BRI by 54 HIT FRI 3:15pm North Melbourne v CarltonMarvel Stadium CAR +1 52% NM by 10 MISS FRI 7:15pm Adelaide Crows v FremantleAdelaide Oval ADE +5 57% FRE by 2 MISS SAT 4:15pm Richmond v Port AdelaideMCG PA +8 62% PA by 42 HIT SAT 7:35pm West Coast Eagles v Sydney SwansOptus Stadium SYD +32 86% SYD by 128 HIT SUN 3:15pm Melbourne v Gold Coast SUNSMCG GCS +15 78% MEL by 20 MISS SUN 7:20pm Western Bulldogs v EssendonMarvel Stadium WB +34 94% WB by 34 HIT MON 3:15pm Hawthorn v Geelong CatsMCG GEE +4 57% HAW by 1 MISS

Round 4: 4 of 8 tips correct.

Record: Marks

R29 46 1.5 43% 70%
R28 92 1.4 39% 75%
R27 92 1.6 38% 71%
R26 183 1.7 35% 67%
R25 92 1.7 40% 65%
R24 414 1.6 44% 72%
R23 413 1.7 38% 69%
R22 412 1.8 37% 65%
R21 414 1.7 35% 71%
R20 413 1.9 38% 65%
R19 411 1.8 36% 67%
R18 411 1.8 36% 64%
R17 413 1.7 41% 70%
R16 322 1.7 38% 70%
R15 322 1.8 39% 67%
R14 322 1.6 46% 70%
R13 368 1.7 39% 66%
R12 322 1.8 37% 69%
R11 412 1.8 36% 67%
R10 411 1.9 32% 61%
R9 413 1.9 35% 62%
R8 410 1.9 36% 63%
R7 408 1.7 39% 69%
R6 413 1.9 35% 62%
R5 414 1.9 34% 60%
R4 363 1.8 37% 66%
R3 321 1.8 32% 62%
R2 319 2.0 37% 61%
R1 413 1.9 30% 62%
R0 222 1.9 33% 62%
This season2026 9,981 1.8 37% 66%
Last season2025 9,137 1.9 33% 61%
All time2 seasons 19,118 1.8 35% 63%

The share of players whose actual marks landed within 1 and within 2 of the prediction.