HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 AFLW Season 11
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · SEASON 11 · ROUND 3 (3 OF 12 PUBLISHED)

AFLW 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.4 3,795 players R3: 0.4 (378 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 78% 2,957 of 3,795 R3: 79% (297 of 378)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 94% 3,563 of 3,795 R3: 92% (347 of 378)

Round 3

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SAT 12:35pm North Melbourne v Western BulldogsUTAS Stadium NM +22 82% NM by 47 HIT SAT 2:35pm Adelaide Crows v West Coast EaglesUnley Oval ADE +15 74% ADE by 17 HIT SAT 4:35pm Sydney Swans v St KildaC.ex Coffs International Stadium SYD +18 78% SYD by 23 HIT SUN 12:35pm GWS GIANTS v Port AdelaideCorroboree Group Oval Manuka PA +21 81% PA by 4 HIT SUN 1:05pm Melbourne v Brisbane LionsCasey Fields BRI +4 58% MEL by 56 MISS SUN 3:05pm Collingwood v HawthornVictoria Park HAW +22 82% HAW by 28 HIT SUN 3:05pm Gold Coast SUNS v Geelong CatsPeople First Stadium GEE +19 78% GEE by 7 HIT SUN 5:05pm Fremantle v CarltonCockburn ARC Oval CAR +3 55% CAR by 6 HIT SUN 7:20pm Essendon v RichmondTIO Stadium ESS +7 61% RIC by 5 MISS

Round 3: 7 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R11 126 0.3 80% 95%
R10 376 0.4 77% 94%
R9 320 0.4 76% 95%
R8 329 0.3 80% 95%
R7 376 0.4 78% 94%
R6 378 0.3 77% 96%
R5 378 0.3 82% 95%
R4 378 0.4 76% 93%
R3 378 0.4 79% 92%
R2 378 0.4 77% 94%
R1 378 0.4 77% 92%
This season2026 AFLW Season 11 3,795 0.4 78% 94%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.