HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 AFLW Season 11
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · SEASON 11 · ROUND 4 (4 OF 12 PUBLISHED)

AFLW 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.4 3,795 players R4: 0.4 (378 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 78% 2,957 of 3,795 R4: 76% (289 of 378)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 94% 3,563 of 3,795 R4: 93% (351 of 378)

Round 4

‹ ›
SAT 12:35pm Western Bulldogs v Sydney SwansMission Whitten Oval SYD +0 50% WB by 27 MISS SAT 1:05pm St Kilda v North MelbourneRSEA Park NM +40 94% NM by 92 HIT SAT 2:35pm Port Adelaide v Gold Coast SUNSAlberton Oval PA +24 84% GCS by 3 MISS SAT 6:35pm Brisbane Lions v GWS GIANTSBrighton Homes Arena BRI +27 87% BRI by 31 HIT SUN 12:30pm Richmond v FremantleIKON Park FRE +22 82% FRE by 25 HIT SUN 1:05pm Hawthorn v Adelaide CrowsKennedy Community Centre ADE +0 51% ADE by 28 HIT SUN 2:35pm Geelong Cats v EssendonGMHBA Stadium GEE +18 78% GEE by 32 HIT SUN 3:05pm Carlton v CollingwoodIKON Park CAR +32 90% CAR by 39 HIT SUN 5:05pm West Coast Eagles v MelbourneMineral Resources Park MEL +34 92% MEL by 37 HIT

Round 4: 7 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R11 126 0.3 80% 95%
R10 376 0.4 77% 94%
R9 320 0.4 76% 95%
R8 329 0.3 80% 95%
R7 376 0.4 78% 94%
R6 378 0.3 77% 96%
R5 378 0.3 82% 95%
R4 378 0.4 76% 93%
R3 378 0.4 79% 92%
R2 378 0.4 77% 94%
R1 378 0.4 77% 92%
This season2026 AFLW Season 11 3,795 0.4 78% 94%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.