HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFLW2026 AFLW Season 11
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · SEASON 11 · ROUND 5 (5 OF 12 PUBLISHED)

AFLW 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.4 3,795 players R5: 0.3 (378 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 78% 2,957 of 3,795 R5: 82% (310 of 378)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 94% 3,563 of 3,795 R5: 95% (359 of 378)

Round 5

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SAT 1:05pm Hawthorn v Western BulldogsKennedy Community Centre HAW +1 52% HAW by 11 HIT SAT 2:35pm Gold Coast SUNS v CollingwoodPeople First Stadium GCS +5 58% GCS by 30 HIT SAT 3:05pm Adelaide Crows v Geelong CatsUnley Oval ADE +7 62% GEE by 11 MISS SAT 4:35pm West Coast Eagles v Brisbane LionsMineral Resources Park BRI +31 89% WCE by 5 MISS SUN 12:35pm Melbourne v Port AdelaideCasey Fields MEL +19 79% MEL by 51 HIT SUN 1:05pm Richmond v St KildaWindy Hill RIC +3 56% RIC by 15 HIT SUN 2:35pm Sydney Swans v GWS GIANTSHenson Park SYD +22 82% SYD by 31 HIT SUN 3:05pm North Melbourne v CarltonArden Street Oval NM +30 89% NM by 10 HIT SUN 5:05pm Fremantle v EssendonCockburn ARC Oval FRE +14 73% FRE by 15 HIT

Round 5: 7 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R11 126 0.3 80% 95%
R10 376 0.4 77% 94%
R9 320 0.4 76% 95%
R8 329 0.3 80% 95%
R7 376 0.4 78% 94%
R6 378 0.3 77% 96%
R5 378 0.3 82% 95%
R4 378 0.4 76% 93%
R3 378 0.4 79% 92%
R2 378 0.4 77% 94%
R1 378 0.4 77% 92%
This season2026 AFLW Season 11 3,795 0.4 78% 94%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.