HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 11 (12 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.5 9,981 players R11: 0.4 (412 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 65% 6,494 of 9,981 R11: 67% (274 of 412)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 87% 8,638 of 9,981 R11: 87% (360 of 412)

Round 11

‹ ›
THU 7:30pm Hawthorn v Adelaide CrowsUTAS Stadium HAW +9 64% HAW by 9 HIT FRI 7:45pm Richmond v EssendonMCG ESS +11 66% RIC by 18 MISS FRI 8:30pm Fremantle v St KildaOptus Stadium FRE +18 76% FRE by 30 HIT SAT 1:15pm North Melbourne v Gold Coast SUNSMarvel Stadium GCS +9 64% NM by 6 MISS SAT 4:15pm Geelong Cats v Sydney SwansGMHBA Stadium GEE +13 70% GEE by 27 HIT SAT 4:35pm Collingwood v West Coast EaglesMCG COL +39 92% COL by 10 HIT SAT 7:35pm Port Adelaide v CarltonAdelaide Oval PA +4 56% CAR by 34 MISS SUN 12:30pm GWS GIANTS v Brisbane LionsENGIE Stadium BRI +8 63% GWS by 78 MISS SUN 3:15pm Western Bulldogs v MelbourneMarvel Stadium MEL +4 57% WB by 3 MISS

Round 11: 4 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R29 46 0.4 67% 91%
R28 92 0.6 61% 82%
R27 92 0.6 60% 85%
R26 183 0.5 68% 89%
R25 92 0.7 51% 84%
R24 414 0.6 70% 85%
R23 413 0.6 66% 86%
R22 412 0.6 63% 85%
R21 414 0.6 62% 87%
R20 413 0.5 69% 86%
R19 411 0.6 67% 86%
R18 411 0.5 64% 86%
R17 413 0.5 68% 86%
R16 322 0.5 66% 87%
R15 322 0.5 64% 87%
R14 322 0.4 69% 89%
R13 368 0.4 68% 88%
R12 322 0.5 66% 85%
R11 412 0.4 67% 87%
R10 411 0.4 66% 88%
R9 413 0.4 67% 89%
R8 410 0.5 66% 86%
R7 408 0.5 64% 86%
R6 413 0.6 63% 87%
R5 414 0.5 64% 87%
R4 363 0.5 61% 85%
R3 321 0.5 65% 87%
R2 319 0.5 61% 86%
R1 413 0.6 60% 85%
R0 222 0.6 65% 87%
This season2026 9,981 0.5 65% 87%
Last season2025 9,137 0.5 66% 86%
All time2 seasons 19,118 0.5 65% 86%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.