HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 1 (2 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.5 9,981 players R1: 0.6 (413 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 65% 6,494 of 9,981 R1: 60% (246 of 413)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 87% 8,638 of 9,981 R1: 85% (352 of 413)

Round 1

‹ ›
THU 11:00am Carlton v RichmondMCG CAR +28 80% CAR by 4 HIT FRI 7:40pm Essendon v HawthornMCG HAW +28 80% HAW by 62 HIT SAT 1:15pm Western Bulldogs v GWS GIANTSMarvel Stadium WB +14 67% WB by 81 HIT SAT 4:15pm Geelong Cats v FremantleGMHBA Stadium GEE +6 58% GEE by 10 HIT SAT 7:10pm Sydney Swans v Brisbane LionsSCG SYD +6 58% SYD by 44 HIT SAT 7:35pm Collingwood v Adelaide CrowsMCG COL +2 53% ADE by 14 MISS SUN 1:10pm North Melbourne v Port AdelaideMarvel Stadium PA +6 57% NM by 46 MISS SUN 3:15pm Melbourne v St KildaMCG MEL +6 57% MEL by 13 HIT SUN 6:10pm Gold Coast SUNS v West Coast EaglesPeople First Stadium GCS +43 90% GCS by 59 HIT

Round 1: 7 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R29 46 0.4 67% 91%
R28 92 0.6 61% 82%
R27 92 0.6 60% 85%
R26 183 0.5 68% 89%
R25 92 0.7 51% 84%
R24 414 0.6 70% 85%
R23 413 0.6 66% 86%
R22 412 0.6 63% 85%
R21 414 0.6 62% 87%
R20 413 0.5 69% 86%
R19 411 0.6 67% 86%
R18 411 0.5 64% 86%
R17 413 0.5 68% 86%
R16 322 0.5 66% 87%
R15 322 0.5 64% 87%
R14 322 0.4 69% 89%
R13 368 0.4 68% 88%
R12 322 0.5 66% 85%
R11 412 0.4 67% 87%
R10 411 0.4 66% 88%
R9 413 0.4 67% 89%
R8 410 0.5 66% 86%
R7 408 0.5 64% 86%
R6 413 0.6 63% 87%
R5 414 0.5 64% 87%
R4 363 0.5 61% 85%
R3 321 0.5 65% 87%
R2 319 0.5 61% 86%
R1 413 0.6 60% 85%
R0 222 0.6 65% 87%
This season2026 9,981 0.5 65% 87%
Last season2025 9,137 0.5 66% 86%
All time2 seasons 19,118 0.5 65% 86%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.