HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 17 (18 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.5 9,981 players R17: 0.5 (413 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 65% 6,494 of 9,981 R17: 68% (282 of 413)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 87% 8,638 of 9,981 R17: 86% (357 of 413)

Round 17

‹ ›
THU 7:30pm Geelong Cats v Brisbane LionsGMHBA Stadium GEE +8 63% BRI by 22 MISS FRI 7:40pm Sydney Swans v Western BulldogsSCG SYD +30 87% SYD by 35 HIT FRI 8:10pm West Coast Eagles v Adelaide CrowsOptus Stadium ADE +29 86% ADE by 25 HIT SAT 1:15pm Hawthorn v MelbourneUTAS Stadium HAW +12 68% MEL by 35 MISS SAT 1:35pm GWS GIANTS v FremantleCorroboree Group Oval Manuka FRE +13 69% GWS by 21 MISS SAT 4:15pm Gold Coast SUNS v CollingwoodPeople First Stadium COL +5 58% COL by 6 HIT SAT 7:35pm Richmond v CarltonMCG CAR +35 90% CAR by 2 HIT SUN 3:15pm Essendon v St KildaMarvel Stadium STK +21 79% STK by 67 HIT SUN 4:40pm Port Adelaide v North MelbourneAdelaide Oval PA +7 61% PA by 21 HIT

Round 17: 6 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R29 46 0.4 67% 91%
R28 92 0.6 61% 82%
R27 92 0.6 60% 85%
R26 183 0.5 68% 89%
R25 92 0.7 51% 84%
R24 414 0.6 70% 85%
R23 413 0.6 66% 86%
R22 412 0.6 63% 85%
R21 414 0.6 62% 87%
R20 413 0.5 69% 86%
R19 411 0.6 67% 86%
R18 411 0.5 64% 86%
R17 413 0.5 68% 86%
R16 322 0.5 66% 87%
R15 322 0.5 64% 87%
R14 322 0.4 69% 89%
R13 368 0.4 68% 88%
R12 322 0.5 66% 85%
R11 412 0.4 67% 87%
R10 411 0.4 66% 88%
R9 413 0.4 67% 89%
R8 410 0.5 66% 86%
R7 408 0.5 64% 86%
R6 413 0.6 63% 87%
R5 414 0.5 64% 87%
R4 363 0.5 61% 85%
R3 321 0.5 65% 87%
R2 319 0.5 61% 86%
R1 413 0.6 60% 85%
R0 222 0.6 65% 87%
This season2026 9,981 0.5 65% 87%
Last season2025 9,137 0.5 66% 86%
All time2 seasons 19,118 0.5 65% 86%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.