HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 21 (22 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE DISPOSALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 3.8 9,981 players R21: 3.7 (414 players)
WITHIN 3 DISPOSALS 49% 4,907 of 9,981 R21: 46% (189 of 414)
WITHIN 5 DISPOSALS 72% 7,187 of 9,981 R21: 74% (306 of 414)

Round 21

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THU 7:30pm Collingwood v Geelong CatsMCG COL +2 53% GEE by 25 MISS FRI 8:10pm Fremantle v Western BulldogsOptus Stadium FRE +33 89% FRE by 37 HIT SAT 1:05pm St Kilda v Sydney SwansMarvel Stadium SYD +11 67% SYD by 19 HIT SAT 1:35pm Hawthorn v North MelbourneUniversity of Tasmania Stadium HAW +43 94% HAW by 16 HIT SAT 6:35pm Port Adelaide v GWS GIANTSAdelaide Oval GWS +15 72% GWS by 12 HIT SAT 7:40pm Carlton v Brisbane LionsMarvel Stadium BRI +21 78% CAR by 76 MISS SUN 1:10pm Richmond v West Coast EaglesMCG WCE +0 50% RIC by 11 MISS SUN 3:15pm Gold Coast SUNS v MelbournePeople First Stadium MEL +17 74% MEL by 9 HIT SUN 4:40pm Essendon v Adelaide CrowsMarvel Stadium ADE +37 91% ADE by 72 HIT

Round 21: 6 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Disposals

R29 46 2.8 63% 85%
R28 92 3.6 55% 77%
R27 92 3.0 60% 83%
R26 183 4.0 45% 70%
R25 92 3.8 45% 72%
R24 414 3.9 49% 73%
R23 413 3.8 49% 72%
R22 412 4.1 47% 68%
R21 414 3.7 46% 74%
R20 413 3.8 51% 72%
R19 411 3.9 49% 71%
R18 411 4.0 47% 71%
R17 413 3.6 50% 75%
R16 322 3.6 50% 74%
R15 322 3.8 46% 75%
R14 322 3.4 56% 79%
R13 368 3.6 54% 74%
R12 322 3.5 54% 75%
R11 412 4.0 50% 69%
R10 411 3.7 52% 75%
R9 413 3.7 50% 73%
R8 410 3.8 50% 70%
R7 408 3.9 47% 70%
R6 413 3.9 47% 69%
R5 414 3.8 46% 71%
R4 363 3.7 50% 72%
R3 321 4.0 47% 69%
R2 319 3.9 50% 71%
R1 413 4.0 46% 68%
R0 222 4.2 43% 66%
This season2026 9,981 3.8 49% 72%
Last season2025 9,137 3.7 50% 73%
All time2 seasons 19,118 3.7 50% 73%

The share of players whose actual disposals landed within 3 and within 5 of the prediction.