HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 21 (22 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.5 9,981 players R21: 0.6 (414 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 65% 6,494 of 9,981 R21: 62% (256 of 414)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 87% 8,638 of 9,981 R21: 87% (360 of 414)

Round 21

‹ ›
THU 7:30pm Collingwood v Geelong CatsMCG COL +2 53% GEE by 25 MISS FRI 8:10pm Fremantle v Western BulldogsOptus Stadium FRE +33 89% FRE by 37 HIT SAT 1:05pm St Kilda v Sydney SwansMarvel Stadium SYD +11 67% SYD by 19 HIT SAT 1:35pm Hawthorn v North MelbourneUniversity of Tasmania Stadium HAW +43 94% HAW by 16 HIT SAT 6:35pm Port Adelaide v GWS GIANTSAdelaide Oval GWS +15 72% GWS by 12 HIT SAT 7:40pm Carlton v Brisbane LionsMarvel Stadium BRI +21 78% CAR by 76 MISS SUN 1:10pm Richmond v West Coast EaglesMCG WCE +0 50% RIC by 11 MISS SUN 3:15pm Gold Coast SUNS v MelbournePeople First Stadium MEL +17 74% MEL by 9 HIT SUN 4:40pm Essendon v Adelaide CrowsMarvel Stadium ADE +37 91% ADE by 72 HIT

Round 21: 6 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R29 46 0.4 67% 91%
R28 92 0.6 61% 82%
R27 92 0.6 60% 85%
R26 183 0.5 68% 89%
R25 92 0.7 51% 84%
R24 414 0.6 70% 85%
R23 413 0.6 66% 86%
R22 412 0.6 63% 85%
R21 414 0.6 62% 87%
R20 413 0.5 69% 86%
R19 411 0.6 67% 86%
R18 411 0.5 64% 86%
R17 413 0.5 68% 86%
R16 322 0.5 66% 87%
R15 322 0.5 64% 87%
R14 322 0.4 69% 89%
R13 368 0.4 68% 88%
R12 322 0.5 66% 85%
R11 412 0.4 67% 87%
R10 411 0.4 66% 88%
R9 413 0.4 67% 89%
R8 410 0.5 66% 86%
R7 408 0.5 64% 86%
R6 413 0.6 63% 87%
R5 414 0.5 64% 87%
R4 363 0.5 61% 85%
R3 321 0.5 65% 87%
R2 319 0.5 61% 86%
R1 413 0.6 60% 85%
R0 222 0.6 65% 87%
This season2026 9,981 0.5 65% 87%
Last season2025 9,137 0.5 66% 86%
All time2 seasons 19,118 0.5 65% 86%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.