HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026
AUSTRALIAN FOOTBALL · ROUND 5 (6 OF 30 PUBLISHED)

AFL 2026

HOW THE GOALS PREDICTIONS ARE GOING
AVERAGE ERROR 0.5 9,981 players R5: 0.5 (414 players)
WITHIN 0.5 GOALS 65% 6,494 of 9,981 R5: 64% (265 of 414)
WITHIN 1 GOAL 87% 8,638 of 9,981 R5: 87% (362 of 414)

Round 5

‹ ›
THU 7:40pm Adelaide Crows v CarltonAdelaide Oval ADE +14 69% ADE by 28 HIT FRI 7:40pm Collingwood v FremantleAdelaide Oval FRE +4 58% FRE by 6 HIT SAT 12:35pm North Melbourne v Brisbane LionsBarossa Park BRI +20 83% BRI by 26 HIT SAT 1:15pm Essendon v MelbourneAdelaide Oval MEL +30 91% ESS by 45 MISS SAT 4:15pm Sydney Swans v Gold Coast SUNSNorwood Oval GCS +3 57% SYD by 32 MISS SAT 7:35pm Hawthorn v Western BulldogsAdelaide Oval WB +3 57% HAW by 40 MISS SUN 12:30pm Geelong Cats v West Coast EaglesNorwood Oval GEE +40 96% GEE by 46 HIT SUN 3:15pm GWS GIANTS v RichmondBarossa Park GWS +34 94% GWS by 56 HIT SUN 7:15pm Port Adelaide v St KildaAdelaide Oval STK +2 54% STK by 14 HIT

Round 5: 6 of 9 tips correct.

Record: Goals

R29 46 0.4 67% 91%
R28 92 0.6 61% 82%
R27 92 0.6 60% 85%
R26 183 0.5 68% 89%
R25 92 0.7 51% 84%
R24 414 0.6 70% 85%
R23 413 0.6 66% 86%
R22 412 0.6 63% 85%
R21 414 0.6 62% 87%
R20 413 0.5 69% 86%
R19 411 0.6 67% 86%
R18 411 0.5 64% 86%
R17 413 0.5 68% 86%
R16 322 0.5 66% 87%
R15 322 0.5 64% 87%
R14 322 0.4 69% 89%
R13 368 0.4 68% 88%
R12 322 0.5 66% 85%
R11 412 0.4 67% 87%
R10 411 0.4 66% 88%
R9 413 0.4 67% 89%
R8 410 0.5 66% 86%
R7 408 0.5 64% 86%
R6 413 0.6 63% 87%
R5 414 0.5 64% 87%
R4 363 0.5 61% 85%
R3 321 0.5 65% 87%
R2 319 0.5 61% 86%
R1 413 0.6 60% 85%
R0 222 0.6 65% 87%
This season2026 9,981 0.5 65% 87%
Last season2025 9,137 0.5 66% 86%
All time2 seasons 19,118 0.5 65% 86%

The share of players whose actual goals landed within 0.5 and within 1 of the prediction.